United Russia: Up 18 points in 24 hours, 9.0× its normal daily swing. Up 20 on the week. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it. 1 other outcome moved by more than noise.
Up 18 points in 24 hours, 9.0× its normal daily swing. Up 20 on the week. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 16 points in 24 hours, 8.9× its normal daily swing. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it.
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Each line is the price of one outcome on Polymarket, read as a probability. Hover or tap to read every line on the same day.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| United Russia | 70% | 99% |
| New People | 23% | <1% |
Every box is one Polymarket event in this room. The bigger the box, the more was traded in the last 24 hours.
The order book behind “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?”, read a minute ago.
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Russia | 99¢/100¢ | $160K · $1.4M | 100¢+0.0 | |
| New People | 0.5¢/0.7¢ | $1.4K · $1.4K | 1.5¢+0.8 | |
| Communist Party of the Russian Federation | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $416 | 0.8¢+0.7 | |
| Liberal Democratic Party of Russia | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $348 | 0.8¢+0.7 | |
| Yabloko | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $957 | 0.2¢+0.1 |
Average price a buy order of that size would pay against the offers resting now, and how many points that is above the best offer. “Within 2¢” is the dollars resting near the touch on the bid and the offer side.
Vultax Research: how much size prediction market order books hold
The same question on both venues: Brazil presidential election winner.
Gap = Polymarket minus Kalshi, in probability points. Kalshi is read at the middle of its quote. The two contracts settle on their own rules and fees, so a gap is a reading, not a free trade. Kalshi market
Vultax Research: what Kalshi and Polymarket price gaps are worth after fees
Gap = Polymarket minus Kalshi, in probability points. Kalshi is read at the middle of its quote. The two contracts settle on their own rules and fees, so a gap is a reading, not a free trade. Kalshi market
Polymarket publishes no view counts. Comments are the nearest thing to a crowd, and they do not always follow the money.
Biggest holders in this market's two leading outcomes, valued at the current price. Open a name for the wallet's record on Vultax.
7 more positions in this market
Who holds the most on each side, valued at the current price, with each wallet's record one click away.
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Prints of $1,000 and more in the room's busiest markets, newest first.
9 more large trades in this room
Each print of $1,000 and more as it happens: who, which side, what price.
Every move in this room that cleared Vi IQ's "notable" line, stamped when it happened. Vultax has recorded this room since 20 Sep 2026.
Down 24 points in 24 hours, 15× its normal daily swing. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is 3.1× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 25 points in 24 hours, 13× its normal daily swing. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 3.1× a normal day, so money came with it.
On Polymarket, “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?” has United Russia in front at >99%, on $10M traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 4,074 open markets across 197 Polymarket events, which together traded $15M over the same 24 hours and hold $64M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 21 Sep 2026, 06:30 UTC.
The next presidential election and the runoff
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 37% | — | +2.4 | $1.3K | $301K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes37¢No63¢ |
Presidential races across Latin America
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 59% | +1.2 | +7.8 | $121K | $423K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes59¢No41¢ |
Parliamentary and presidential votes across Europe
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 86% | −3.5 | −5.0 | $65.4K | $102K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes86¢No15¢ |
The Duma election and its party markets
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Russia | >99% | +18 | +20 | $7.2M | $588K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes99¢No0.6¢ |
| New People |
Leadership and national votes elsewhere
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 53% | +1.3 | 0 | $31.6K | $145K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes53¢No47¢ |
Largest price changes in points, counted only on markets that traded at least $1,000 in the same 24 hours. The number beside each move is that market’s 24-hour volume.
The most recently settled Polymarket markets on this subject, with the outcome that paid and the total traded over the market’s life. A settled market is the only place a prediction market can be checked against what happened.
| Market | Resolved as | Total volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin State Election Winner | Linke | $4.5M | 21 Sep 2026 |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner | AfD | $2.4M | 21 Sep 2026 |
| Falealili 1 By-Election Winner | Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai | $35.2K | 20 Sep 2026 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats? | <105 | $49.1K | 18 Sep 2026 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner | Swedish Social Democratic Party | $2.0M |
This room reads every open Polymarket market tagged to elections outside the United States and groups them by region: France, the Americas, Europe, Russia and the rest of the world. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.
A price is the cost of a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. In a market with many named outcomes the prices should add up to roughly 100%; a gap is the venue's spread and fees, not a free lunch.
National elections resolve on official results, but the questions differ: some markets pay on the winning candidate, others on the party with the most seats, a vote share band, or who forms a government. Two markets on the same election can therefore look contradictory when they are simply asking different things.
Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.
| Édouard Philippe | 24% | −1.0 | −4.0 | $5.4K | $244K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes24¢No77¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13% | — | +1.0 | $3.0K | $289K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| François Hollande | 5.9% | +0.7 | +1.1 | $12.9K | $134K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes5.9¢No94¢ |
| David Lisnard | 5.1% | −0.5 | −2.9 | $31.6K | $175K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes5.1¢No95¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | 2.3% | — | 0 | $2.5K | $212K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes2.3¢No98¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 1.6% | — | −0.5 | $7.1K | $174K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes1.6¢No98¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 1.5% | 0 | 0 | $2.4K | $233K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes1.5¢No99¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | 1.5% | — | 0 | $0 | $251K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes1.5¢No99¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | 1.1% | — | — | $1.4K | $205K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
31 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 96% | — | 0 | $0 | $12.5K | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes96¢No4.3¢ |
| Marine Le Pen | 90% | — | +1.5 | $20 | $15.0K | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes90¢No10.0¢ |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 87% | −1.0 | +1.5 | $0 | $11.4K | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes87¢No13¢ |
| Fabien Roussel | 83% | −1.5 | −1.5 | $0 | $577 | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes83¢No17¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 82% | −4.0 | −2.0 | $669 | $12.6K | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes82¢No19¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | 81% | −3.5 | +14 | $105 | $10.8K | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes81¢No19¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | 73% | — | −1.0 | $0 | $1.8K | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes73¢No28¢ |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 65% | +3.5 | +7.5 | $310 | $374 | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes65¢No35¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 63% | −1.0 | −1.0 | $76 | $824 | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes63¢No38¢ |
| David Lisnard | 59% | −13 | −11 | $2.5K | $1.8K | 17 Apr 2027 | Yes59¢No41¢ |
36 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 41% | −1.0 | −6.0 | $54.9K | $334K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes41¢No60¢ |
| Renan Santos | <1% | 0 | −1.1 | $29.1K | $475K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.8¢No99¢ |
| Jair Bolsonaro | <1% | — | — | $14.2K | $392K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Romeu Zema | <1% | — | — | $13.9K | $406K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Ratinho Júnior | <1% | — | — | $19.0K | $2.3M | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Camilo Santana | <1% | — | — | $4.5K | $611K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | <1% | — | — | $2.0K | $1.3M | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Ronaldo Caiado | <1% | — | 0 | $1.1K | $1.1M | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Tarcisio de Freitas | <1% | — | — | $1.0K | $1.3M | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
9 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 69% | +7.0 | −7.5 | $44.7K | $58.4K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes69¢No31¢ |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 31% | −3.0 | +9.8 | $18.2K | $92.0K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes31¢No69¢ |
| Renan Santos | <1% | 0 | −0.9 | $13.2K | $112K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Augusto Cury | <1% | 0 | 0 | $22.1K | $132K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.2¢No100¢ |
| Tarcisio de Freitas | <1% | — | — | $0 | $121K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Jair Bolsonaro | <1% | — | — | $0 | $121K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Fernando Haddad | <1% | — | — | $0 | $150K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | <1% | — | — | $0 | $137K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | <1% | — | — | $0 | $143K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Ratinho Júnior | <1% | — | — | $0 | $144K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
8 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lula | 69% | −1.5 | −8.5 | $18.7K | $35.0K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes69¢No31¢ |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 31% | +4.0 | +8.5 | $14.1K | $63.2K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes31¢No69¢ |
| Ronaldo Caiado | <1% | — | — | $0 | $34.3K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Zema | <1% | — | — | $0 | $30.5K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Renan Santos | <1% | — | — | $0 | $39.0K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Pablo Marçal | <1% | — | — | $0 | $29.6K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Escritor Augusto Cury | <1% | — | — | $0 | $28.9K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Rui Costa Pimenta | <1% | — | — | $0 | $24.0K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Clariana Barao | <1% | — | — | $0 | $25.7K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Hertz Dias | <1% | — | — | $0 | $24.1K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Santos | 51% | −1.0 | +12 | $4.0K | $73.3K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes51¢No49¢ |
| Augusto Cury | 33% | +1.1 | −20 | $4.6K | $79.9K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes33¢No67¢ |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 12% | — | +2.5 | $1.7K | $55.5K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| Romeu Zema | 1.1% | −0.7 | 0 | $50 | $71.5K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | <1% | — | −0.6 | $2.4K | $84.4K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | <1% | — | 0 | $432 | $63.2K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
| Tarcisio de Freitas | <1% | — | — | $0 | $44.4K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Jair Bolsonaro | <1% | — | — | $0 | $44.8K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Fernando Haddad | <1% | — | — | $0 | $38.7K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | <1% | — | — | $0 | $45.2K | 4 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
9 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
5 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| Ulf Kristersson | 12% | +1.5 | +2.9 | $45.6K | $92.4K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Ebba Busch | 1.1% | 0 | +1.1 | $6.7K | $54.7K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist | <1% | 0 | +0.7 | $7.5K | $39.1K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes0.8¢No99¢ |
| Jimmie Åkesson | <1% | — | — | $80 | $73.1K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Anna-Karin Hatt | <1% | — | — | $0 | $174K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Nooshi Dadgostar | <1% | — | — | $0 | $163K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Simona Mohamsson | <1% | — | — | $0 | $163K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Amanda Lind | <1% | — | — | $0 | $181K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Daniel Helldén | <1% | — | — | $0 | $172K | 13 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilija Srdanović | 48% | +1.0 | — | $9.8K | $20.4K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes48¢No53¢ |
| Aleksandar Vučić | 43% | −9.4 | −26 | $52.4K | $72.1K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes43¢No57¢ |
| Vladan Đokić | 1.7% | 0 | +0.9 | $183 | $24.4K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes1.7¢No98¢ |
| Dragan Đilas | <1% | 0 | −5.5 | $614 | $30.0K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Đuro Macut | <1% | 0 | 0 | $142 | $20.0K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Branimir Jovanović | <1% | 0 | 0 | $207 | $22.0K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
| Ana Brnabić | <1% | — | −3.4 | $140 | $21.6K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
| Miloš Vučević | <1% | — | 0 | $202 | $29.9K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Ivica Dačić | <1% | — | 0 | $172 | $21.7K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Stefan Krkobabić | <1% | — | 0 | $140 | $23.6K | 30 Jun 2028 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AfD | 99% | +39 | +36 | $29.6K | $17.6K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes99¢No1.4¢ |
| Grüne | <1% | −16 | −11 | $17.6K | $20.8K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Linke | <1% | −8.0 | −19 | $6.2K | $19.3K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| CDU | <1% | −19 | −14 | $4.6K | $25.1K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| SPD | <1% | −0.9 | −6.6 | $1.3K | $21.8K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| BSW | <1% | 0 | −0.5 | $50 | $13.7K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| FDP | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $12.7K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| FW | <1% | — | — | $0 | $11.8K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29-31 | 97% | +76 | +79 | $3.9K | $17.2K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes97¢No3.2¢ |
| 35+ | 1.7% | −33 | −31 | $4.5K | $18.4K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes1.7¢No98¢ |
| 26-28 | 1.5% | −6.0 | −16 | $11.4K | $16.6K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes1.5¢No99¢ |
| 32-34 | <1% | −26 | −23 | $8.8K | $3.4K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.9¢No99¢ |
| 23-25 | <1% | −5.9 | −2.1 | $1.9K | $12.4K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.6¢No99¢ |
| 20-22 | <1% | 0 | −1.3 | $1.7K | $12.9K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.5¢No100¢ |
| <20 | <1% | — | −0.9 | $1.5K | $12.3K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
58 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| <1% |
| −16 |
| −16 |
| $1.3M |
| $150K |
| 20 Sep 2026 |
| Yes0.6¢No99¢ |
| Communist Party of the Russian Federation | <1% | 0 | −1.1 | $813K | $158K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Liberal Democratic Party of Russia | <1% | −1.5 | −3.0 | $705K | $217K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Yabloko | <1% | 0 | 0 | $230K | $664K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| A Just Russia – For Truth | <1% | — | 0 | $75.6K | $1.1M | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Rodina | <1% | — | — | $27.3K | $761K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Civic Platform | <1% | — | — | $24.8K | $1.0M | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 340–354 | 65% | +34 | +40 | $100K | $3.4K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes65¢No35¢ |
| 355+ | 31% | +25 | +22 | $74.5K | $5.2K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes31¢No69¢ |
| 325–339 | 1.7% | −41 | −44 | $74.4K | $43.5K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes1.7¢No98¢ |
| 310–324 | <1% | −16 | −13 | $46.0K | $28.9K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.9¢No99¢ |
| 295–309 | <1% | −3.1 | −3.7 | $70.9K | $42.7K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.6¢No99¢ |
| <280 | <1% | −0.6 | −2.0 | $231K | $178K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| 280–294 | <1% | −0.7 | −1.6 | $72.7K | $62.5K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59-62% | 77% | +39 | +65 | $101K | $21.6K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes77¢No23¢ |
| 56-59% | 20% | +1.7 | −3.8 | $120K | $24.6K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes20¢No80¢ |
| 62%+ | 2% | −31 | −8.0 | $103K | $23.1K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes2¢No98¢ |
| 50-53% | <1% | 0 | −19 | $33.4K | $30.5K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
| 53-56% | <1% | −6.3 | −30 | $154K | $34.8K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| <47% | <1% | 0 | −4.8 | $57.7K | $50.3K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| 47-50% | <1% | 0 | −7.0 | $25.4K | $34.5K | 20 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Russia | >99% | 0 | +0.9 | $467K | $209K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes100¢No0.0¢ |
| Communist Party of the Russian Federation | <1% | 0 | 0 | $27.6K | $86.6K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| New People | <1% | 0 | 0 | $21.0K | $112K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| A Just Russia – For Truth | <1% | — | — | $6.0K | $78.7K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Liberal Democratic Party of Russia | <1% | — | — | $5.0K | $113K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Rodina | <1% | — | — | $0 | $105K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Civic Platform | <1% | — | — | $0 | $107K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Yabloko | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $85.1K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | 94% | +20 | +31 | $236K | $25.4K | 1 Oct 2027 | Yes94¢No6.5¢ |
11 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 30% | +2.0 | — | $120K | $419K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes30¢No71¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | 8.5% | −1.0 | −1.0 | $2.4K | $108K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes8.5¢No92¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 3% | −1.7 | −1.1 | $58.0K | $112K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes3¢No97¢ |
| Ofer Winter | 1.8% | 0 | 0 | $52 | $70.5K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes1.8¢No98¢ |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | <1% | 0 | 0 | $696 | $124K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes0.6¢No99¢ |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | — | — | $4.6K | $198K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
| Yair Golan | <1% | — | — | $125 | $142K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
11 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 85% | +6.8 | +21 | $31.3K | $45.8K | 3 Nov 2026 | Yes85¢No15¢ |
| Bernadette Wilson | 12% | −3.0 | −16 | $3.4K | $43.0K | 3 Nov 2026 | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Treg Taylor | <1% | −0.6 | −2.9 | $1.2K | $30.8K | 3 Nov 2026 | Yes0.5¢No100¢ |
| David Bronson | <1% | 0 | −2.1 | $1.2K | $37.5K | 3 Nov 2026 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Tom Begich | <1% | 0 | −1.2 | $1.4K | $35.6K | 3 Nov 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Click Bishop | <1% | 0 | 0 | $1.1K | $35.2K | 3 Nov 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Matt Heilala | <1% | — | 0 | $1.1K | $43.8K | 3 Nov 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Matt Claman | <1% | 0 | 0 | $37 | $22.4K | 3 Nov 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
14 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Alexis | 47% | −8.0 | +33 | $22.0K | $13.0K | 26 Sep 2026 | Yes47¢No53¢ |
| Kerry-Lynne Findlay | 26% | −0.5 | −60 | $4.6K | $29.8K | 26 Sep 2026 | Yes26¢No75¢ |
| Lakhwinder Jhaj | <1% | 0 | — | $120 | $24.4K | 26 Sep 2026 | Yes0.6¢No99¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAM | 84% | +18 | +23 | $3.5K | $15.2K | 23 Sep 2026 | Yes84¢No17¢ |
| RNI | 15% | −3.7 | −9.6 | $2.5K | $17.3K | 23 Sep 2026 | Yes15¢No85¢ |
| PJD | <1% | −8.5 | 0 | $2.1K | $15.0K | 23 Sep 2026 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| PI | <1% | −6.8 | −3.8 | $2.0K | $17.9K | 23 Sep 2026 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
| MP | <1% | 0 | 0 | $29 | $12.3K | 23 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| PPS | <1% | 0 | 0 | $24 | $12.4K | 23 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| USFP | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $18.0K | 23 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| UC | <1% | — | — | $0 | $11.8K | 23 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Paes | 77% | −4.5 | −6.8 | $2.7K | $21.7K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes77¢No24¢ |
| Douglas Ruas | 23% | +3.3 | +6.4 | $1.8K | $32.6K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes23¢No77¢ |
| Rafa Luz | <1% | 0 | 0 | $572 | $31.0K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
| Felipe Curi | <1% | 0 | 0 | $164 | $29.6K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Colonel Busnello | <1% | 0 | 0 | $5 | $26.2K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Dr. Luizinho | <1% | — | — | $0 | $20.7K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Eduardo Pazuello | <1% | — | — | $0 | $24.4K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Tarcísio Motta | <1% | — | — | $0 | $21.9K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
8 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yashar | 62% | +1.0 | +0.5 | $2.9K | $32.9K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes62¢No38¢ |
| Likud | 37% | −2.5 | −2.0 | $875 | $46.0K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes37¢No64¢ |
| Together | <1% | 0 | 0 | $608 | $25.9K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.5¢No100¢ |
| Shas | <1% | — | — | $0 | $23.9K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| The Democrats | <1% | — | — | $0 | $22.8K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Otzma Yehudit | <1% | — | — | $0 | $19.8K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 82% | −3.0 | +9.0 | $798 | $35.0K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes82¢No18¢ |
| CAQ | 17% | +3.0 | −4.5 | $1.7K | $40.4K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes17¢No84¢ |
| PLQ | 2.5% | — | +0.6 | $1.0K | $59.8K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes2.5¢No98¢ |
| PCQ | <1% | 0 | 0 | $719 | $50.3K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| QS | <1% | — | — | $0 | $29.8K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| PVQ | <1% | — | — | $0 | $45.2K | 5 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
94 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
Change in probability points since the same time the previous week
| 14 Sep 2026 |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne? | SPD | $80.3K | 7 Sep 2026 |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share? | 9%+ | $222K | 7 Sep 2026 |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share? | 5-7% | $128K | 7 Sep 2026 |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share? | 7%+ | $334K | 7 Sep 2026 |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share? | 42-45% | $375K | 7 Sep 2026 |
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.