Dates for these votes, each with its status and official source, are on the global election calendar.
Gadi Eizenkot: Up 32 points in a week, 4.5× a normal week for this contract. 2 other outcomes moved by more than noise.
Up 32 points in a week, 4.5× a normal week for this contract.
Down 16 points in a week, 6.0× a normal week for this contract.
Up 2.1 points in a week, 1.8× a normal week for this contract.
Down 1.1 points in a week, 0.4× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Research is free. Create a free account to save room watches and use your Vi allowance.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 48% | 57% |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 36% | 29% |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 1.5% | 4.5% |
| Naftali Bennett | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 57¢/57¢ | $22.7K, $26.3K | 57¢+0.2 | 57¢+0.3 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 28¢/29¢ | $18.5K, $7.6K | 29¢+0.0 | 30¢+1.3 |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 4.3¢/4.6¢ | $3.5K, $256 | 6.9¢+2.3 | 14¢+9.3 |
| Naftali Bennett | 3¢/3.2¢ | $1.1K, $468 | 5.4¢+2.2 | 13¢+9.6 |
| Yossi Cohen | 0.5¢/0.7¢ | $991, $3.5K | 1.2¢+0.5 | 2.6¢+1.9 |
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs
Last recorded read: 2026-11-05 09:33 UTC
Down 2.1 points in a week, 0.8× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Up 2.3 points in a week, 1.9× a normal week for this contract.
Up 25 points in a week, 3.5× a normal week for this contract.
Down 16 points in a week, 6.0× a normal week for this contract.
Up 1.8 points in a week, 1.7× a normal week for this contract.
Up 16 points in 24 hours, 5.6× its normal daily swing. Up 29 on the week.
Down 1.2 points in 24 hours, 3.0× its normal daily swing.
Down 1.1 points on the day, against a week that ran up 1.1: 2.6× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Up 23 points in a week, 3.2× a normal week for this contract. 4 days running in the same direction.
Down 20 points in a week, 7.5× a normal week for this contract.
Up 7.4 points in a week, 7.0× a normal week for this contract.
Down 1.5 points in a week, 1.4× a normal week for this contract.
Up 1.5 points in 24 hours, 3.8× its normal daily swing.
Down 6.0 points in a week, 2.3× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Down 3.4 points in a week, 1.8× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Down 1.2 points in 24 hours, 3.0× its normal daily swing. Down 1.9 on the week.
Up 1.7 points in a week, 1.6× a normal week for this contract.
Down 0.7 points on the day, against a week that ran up 7.3: 1.8× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Up 8.0 points in a week, 7.5× a normal week for this contract.
Up 2.0 points in a week, 1.9× a normal week for this contract.
Down 1.0 points in 24 hours, 2.5× its normal daily swing.
Up 3.0 points in 24 hours, 7.5× its normal daily swing. Up 4.0 on the week. At its highest in 30 days.
Down 7.0 points in a week, 2.6× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Down 4.3 points in a week, 2.3× a normal week for this contract.
On Polymarket, “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?” has Gadi Eizenkot in front at 57%, on $969K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 1,111 open markets across 136 Polymarket events, which together traded $3.0M over the same 24 hours and hold $46M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 5 Nov 2026, 09:33 UTC.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 43% | — | — | $71.9K | $774K |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 46% | — | — | $810 |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 89% | +3.5 | +7.0 | $47.1K |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 57% | — | — | $282K |
| Market | Resolved as | Total volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Governor Election Winner | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | $1.9M | awaiting settlement |
| Next Prime Minister of Latvia? | Andris Kulbergs | $13.7K | awaiting settlement |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party | $63M | 4 Nov 2026 |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? |
Each recorded move in the World elections room beside the room's own sourced events near it: reports by when they were published, calendar and record entries by the date they name. Close in time is not a cause: Vultax has not confirmed why any of these prices moved.
Down 2.1 points in a week, 0.8× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Up 2.3 points in a week, 1.9× a normal week for this contract.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Up 25 points in a week, 3.5× a normal week for this contract.
This room reads every open Polymarket market tagged to elections outside the United States and groups them by region: France, the Americas, Europe and the rest of the world, with Russia's votes on a board of their own when the venue lists them. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.
A price is the cost of a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. In a market with many named outcomes the prices should add up to roughly 100%; a gap is the venue's spread and fees, not a free lunch.
National elections resolve on official results, but the questions differ: some markets pay on the winning candidate, others on the party with the most seats, a vote share band, or who forms a government. Two markets on the same election can therefore look contradictory when they are simply asking different things.
Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.
| 19 Apr 2027 |
| Yes43¢No57¢ |
| David Lisnard | 16% | — | — | $116K | $656K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13% | — | — | $81.7K | $754K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 12% | — | — | $24.1K | $644K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| Christine Lagarde | 6.8% | — | — | $102K | $444K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes6.8¢No93¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 2.6% | — | — | $23.6K | $281K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes2.6¢No97¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 2.1% | — | — | $23.0K | $214K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes2.1¢No98¢ |
| François Hollande | 2.1% | — | — | $28.9K | $197K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes2.1¢No98¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 2% | — | — | $81.9K | $289K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes2¢No98¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | <1% | — | — | $27.7K | $371K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes0.75¢No99.25¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 96% | — | — | $5.5K | $21.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes96¢No3.6¢ |
| Marine Le Pen | 91% | — | — | $18 | $18.2K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes91¢No9.5¢ |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 86% | — | — | $0 | $12.0K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes86¢No14¢ |
| David Lisnard | 83% | — | — | $85 | $15.4K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes83¢No17¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 82% | — | — | $19 | $11.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes82¢No18¢ |
| Fabien Roussel | 81% | — | — | $0 | $11.2K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes81¢No19¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 79% | — | — | $314 | $11.8K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes79¢No21¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | 68% | — | — | $370 | $21.3K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes68¢No32¢ |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 63% | — | — | $0 | $20.4K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes63¢No37¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 40% | — | — | $912 | $25.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes40¢No60¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 90% | — | — | $403 | $18.5K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes90¢No10.0¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 50% | — | — | $522 | $26.1K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes50¢No50¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 22% | — | — | $1.8K | $18.5K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes22¢No78¢ |
| David Lisnard | 18% | — | — | $12 | $42.4K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes18¢No82¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 7.5% | — | — | $0 | $15.2K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes7.5¢No93¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 6% | — | — | $1.0K | $19.8K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes6¢No94¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 6% | — | — | $79 | $12.4K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes6¢No94¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | 5.6% | — | — | $830 | $19.5K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes5.6¢No94¢ |
| Xavier Bertrand | 5.5% | — | — | $0 | $13.7K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes5.5¢No95¢ |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 5.4% | — | — | $0 | $15.0K | 19 Apr 2027 | Yes5.4¢No95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique de Villepin | 79% | — | — | $9 | $2.4K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes79¢No21¢ |
| François Hollande | 17% | — | — | $241 | $11.0K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes17¢No83¢ |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet | 8.1% | — | — | $0 | $12.6K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes8.1¢No92¢ |
| Gérald Darmanin | 5.5% | — | — | $0 | $12.3K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes5.5¢No95¢ |
| Manuel Bompard | 4.5% | — | — | $0 | $11.3K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes4.5¢No96¢ |
| Élisabeth Borne | 3.6% | — | — | $1.8K | $11.8K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes3.6¢No96¢ |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 3.0% | — | — | $100 | $14.4K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes3.0¢No97¢ |
| François Bayrou | 2.9% | — | — | $0 | $12.3K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes2.9¢No97¢ |
| Carole Delga | 2.8% | — | — | $0 | $13.2K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes2.8¢No97¢ |
| Valérie Pécresse | 2.5% | — | — | $200 | $11.9K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes2.5¢No98¢ |
| 25 Oct 2027 |
| Yes46¢No54¢ |
| Axel Kicillof | 31% | — | — | $1.7K | $89.2K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes31¢No70¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 15% | — | — | $6.8K | $70.0K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes15¢No85¢ |
| Patricia Bullrich | 2.9% | — | — | $1.6K | $71.6K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes2.9¢No97¢ |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 1.8% | — | — | $27 | $68.7K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes1.8¢No98¢ |
| Myriam Bregman | 1.8% | — | — | $4.4K | $73.4K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes1.8¢No98¢ |
| Dante Gebel | <1% | — | — | $1.8K | $81.2K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes0.65¢No99.35¢ |
| Daniel Hadad | <1% | — | — | $20 | $65.5K | 24 Oct 2027 | Yes0.65¢No99.35¢ |
| Lionel Messi | <1% | — | 0 | $1.6K | $72.1K | 24 Oct 2027 | Yes0.35¢No99.65¢ |
| Máximo Kirchner | <1% | 0 | — | $652 | $44.4K | 24 Oct 2027 | Yes0.25¢No99.75¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| María Corina Machado | 74% | +20 | +37 | $17.4K | $6.3K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes74¢No27¢ |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 11% | — | −11 | $0 | $15.9K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Jorge Rodríguez | 6.2% | 0 | −4.1 | $0 | $15.6K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes6.2¢No94¢ |
| Donald Trump | 2.9% | — | −3.5 | $0 | $17.1K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes2.9¢No97¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 2.8% | 0 | −0.5 | $0 | $5.4K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes2.8¢No97¢ |
| Henrique Capriles | 2.6% | — | 0 | $0 | $13.6K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes2.6¢No97¢ |
| Manuel Rosales | 2.6% | — | +1.1 | $0 | $13.4K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes2.6¢No97¢ |
| Edmundo González | 1.3% | — | −19 | $0 | $15.7K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes1.3¢No99¢ |
| Diosdado Cabello | 1.1% | −0.5 | −7.5 | $60 | $15.1K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Nicolás Maduro | 1% | — | 0 | $0 | $15.0K | 1 Jan 2030 | Yes1¢No99¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 61% | +4.5 | −1.0 | $185 | $759 | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes61¢No40¢ |
| Axel Kicillof | 11% | −4.5 | −9.5 | $246 | $27.9K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 5.9% | 0 | +0.7 | $112 | $5.6K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes5.9¢No94¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 5.4% | −1.1 | +1.8 | $267 | $4.7K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes5.4¢No95¢ |
| Daniel Hadad | 5.4% | — | 0 | $106 | $3.4K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes5.4¢No95¢ |
| Karina Milei | 5% | −1.6 | −1.1 | $131 | $5.7K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes5¢No95¢ |
| Guillermo Moreno | 4.9% | −4.5 | +0.9 | $197 | $3.8K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes4.9¢No95¢ |
| Myriam Bregman | 4.0% | — | −0.7 | $106 | $4.0K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes4.0¢No96¢ |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | 3.3% | −0.8 | −2.6 | $106 | $5.2K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes3.3¢No97¢ |
| Patricia Bullrich | 2.5% | −3.5 | −4.0 | $106 | $14.7K | 25 Oct 2027 | Yes2.5¢No97¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruas <5% | 25% | +9.8 | +20 | $462 | $270 | — | Yes25¢No75¢ |
| Ruas 20%+ | 8.2% | +3.1 | −8.2 | $50 | $10.3K | — | Yes8.2¢No92¢ |
| Ruas 5-10% | 4.7% | — | 0 | $0 | $10.5K | — | Yes4.7¢No95¢ |
| Ruas 15-20% | 3.6% | 0 | 0 | $0 | $12.3K | — | Yes3.6¢No96¢ |
| Ruas 10-15% | 3.5% | — | −2.1 | $0 | $10.6K | — | Yes3.5¢No97¢ |
| Paes wins | 2.6% | −0.8 | −2.6 | $938 | $14.1K | — | Yes2.6¢No97¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morena | 69% | −4.0 | +1.5 | $1.2K | $23.4K | 7 Jun 2027 | Yes69¢No31¢ |
| PVEM | 6.5% | — | — | $0 | $23.5K | 7 Jun 2027 | Yes6.5¢No94¢ |
| PT | 5% | −0.5 | −2.0 | $0 | $16.1K | 7 Jun 2027 | Yes5¢No95¢ |
| MC | 2.6% | — | +1.0 | $0 | $12.8K | 7 Jun 2027 | Yes2.6¢No97¢ |
| PRI | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $15.4K | 7 Jun 2027 | Yes0.55¢No99.45¢ |
| PAN | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $15.5K | 7 Jun 2027 | Yes0.5¢No99.5¢ |
| 1 Apr 2028 |
| Yes89¢No12¢ |
| Pedro Sánchez | 11% | −1.3 | 0 | $34.5K | $243K | 1 Apr 2028 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Santiago Abascal | 1.5% | −0.9 | −0.9 | $18.0K | $132K | 31 Mar 2028 | Yes1.5¢No99¢ |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | <1% | 0 | 0 | $10.8K | $149K | 1 Apr 2028 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Carlos Cuerpo | <1% | 0 | 0 | $7.0K | $167K | 1 Apr 2028 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| María Jesús Montero | <1% | — | — | $0 | $105K | 1 Apr 2028 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Yolanda Díaz | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $78.1K | 1 Apr 2028 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Ernest Urtasun | <1% | — | — | $0 | $102K | 1 Apr 2028 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Aitor Esteban | <1% | — | — | $0 | $102K | 1 Apr 2028 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Miguel Tellado | <1% | — | — | $0 | $91.8K | 1 Apr 2028 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejan Šoškić | 53% | −2.9 | +17 | $5.1K | $51.1K | — | Yes53¢No47¢ |
| Ilija Srdanović | 13% | — | −3.0 | $5.1K | $29.9K | — | Yes13¢No87¢ |
| Radomir Saičić | 12% | — | −12 | $1.1K | $24.6K | — | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Aleksandar Vučić | 1.1% | −1.0 | −1.4 | $26.4K | $172K | — | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Vladan Đokić | 1.1% | 0 | −1.1 | $199 | $27.9K | — | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Ana Brnabić | <1% | +0.8 | +0.7 | $4.1K | $50.4K | — | Yes0.9¢No99.1¢ |
| Zoran Stojiljković | <1% | 0 | −0.8 | $1.1K | $48.5K | — | Yes0.55¢No99.45¢ |
| Dejan Bodiroga | <1% | 0 | −1.8 | $8.2K | $38.1K | — | Yes0.45¢No99.55¢ |
| Miloš Vučević | <1% | — | — | $0 | $31.0K | — | Yes0.2¢No99.8¢ |
| Dragan Đilas | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $36.1K | — | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 69% | +5.0 | −3.0 | $12.0K | $61.6K | — | Yes69¢No31¢ |
| Ulf Kristersson | 29% | +3.8 | +5.7 | $17.3K | $74.4K | — | Yes29¢No71¢ |
| Ebba Busch | 2.3% | −1.5 | −1.1 | $1.6K | $34.1K | — | Yes2.3¢No98¢ |
| Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist | <1% | 0 | −0.9 | $141 | $49.5K | — | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Jimmie Åkesson | <1% | — | 0 | $56 | $48.5K | — | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Anna-Karin Hatt | <1% | — | — | $0 | $34.6K | — | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Nooshi Dadgostar | <1% | — | — | $0 | $160K | — | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Simona Mohamsson | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $124K | — | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Amanda Lind | <1% | — | — | $0 | $189K | — | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Daniel Helldén | <1% | — | — | $0 | $179K | — | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomir Saičić | 68% | −10 | +3.5 | $7.5K | $40.9K | 2 May 2027 | Yes68¢No32¢ |
| Vladan Đokić | 7.0% | −1.0 | −13 | $1.8K | $33.3K | 2 May 2027 | Yes7.0¢No93¢ |
| Dejan Šoškić | 1.8% | −0.7 | −0.9 | $0 | $22.9K | 2 May 2027 | Yes1.8¢No98¢ |
| Đuro Macut | <1% | 0 | −2.6 | $0 | $21.8K | 2 May 2027 | Yes0.9¢No99.1¢ |
| Miloš Vučević | <1% | — | −2.8 | $0 | $25.7K | 2 May 2027 | Yes0.75¢No99.25¢ |
| Ana Brnabić | <1% | 0 | −2.7 | $509 | $29.4K | 2 May 2027 | Yes0.7¢No99.3¢ |
| Vladan Petrov | <1% | — | −0.9 | $20 | $25.1K | 2 May 2027 | Yes0.35¢No99.65¢ |
| Ivica Dačić | <1% | — | −2.3 | $0 | $24.4K | 2 May 2027 | Yes0.35¢No99.65¢ |
| Aleksandar Vučić | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $20.4K | 2 May 2027 | Yes0.25¢No99.75¢ |
| Dragan Đilas | <1% | — | — | $1.1K | $27.4K | 2 May 2027 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 89% | +2.0 | +6.0 | $7.5K | $73.4K | 30 Nov 2026 | Yes89¢No12¢ |
| PSOE | 13% | +1.5 | −3.0 | $1.3K | $118K | 30 Nov 2026 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Vox | <1% | 0 | −1.6 | $1.6K | $71.3K | 30 Nov 2026 | Yes0.4¢No99.6¢ |
| Broad Front | <1% | — | — | $0 | $30.8K | 30 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Podemos | <1% | — | — | $0 | $32.1K | 30 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S + MP + C + V | 22% | +7.5 | +3.5 | $2.2K | $14.4K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes22¢No78¢ |
| S + MP | 15% | −0.5 | −9.5 | $547 | $13.5K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes15¢No85¢ |
| M + KD + L + C | 15% | +3.5 | +7.4 | $1.6K | $14.3K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes15¢No85¢ |
| S | 12% | −0.5 | −5.5 | $269 | $17.8K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| M + KD + L | 11% | −3.3 | +2.4 | $1.0K | $15.9K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| M + KD + L + SD | 7.4% | −8.9 | −4.0 | $606 | $1.7K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes7.4¢No93¢ |
| S + MP + C | 5.9% | +0.9 | −6.6 | $1.5K | $14.9K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes5.9¢No94¢ |
| Other | 2.9% | −1.5 | +1.4 | $286 | $14.6K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes2.9¢No97¢ |
| S + MP + V | 2.8% | 0 | 0 | $415 | $13.9K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes2.8¢No97¢ |
| S + MP + C + KD | <1% | 0 | 0 | $155 | $14.4K | 1 Aug 2027 | Yes0.8¢No99.2¢ |
| — |
| Yes57¢No43¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 29% | — | — | $424K | $367K | — | Yes29¢No71¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 4.5% | — | — | $56.0K | $126K | — | Yes4.5¢No96¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | 3.1% | — | — | $54.6K | $119K | — | Yes3.1¢No97¢ |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | — | — | $35.8K | $499K | — | Yes0.6¢No99.4¢ |
| Israel Katz | <1% | — | — | $18.2K | $143K | — | Yes0.25¢No99.75¢ |
| Aviv Kohavi | <1% | — | — | $19.1K | $179K | — | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | — | — | $17.8K | $196K | — | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Luxon | 55% | +5.0 | +6.5 | $12.2K | $93.3K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes55¢No45¢ |
| Chris Hipkins | 44% | −7.5 | −5.5 | $20.1K | $81.4K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes44¢No56¢ |
| Nicola Willis | <1% | 0 | 0 | $2.4K | $37.6K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.45¢No99.55¢ |
| Winston Peters | <1% | — | 0 | $1.0K | $44.2K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Chlöe Swarbrick | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $39.8K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| David Seymour | <1% | — | −1.8 | $0 | $37.9K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Carmel Sepuloni | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $43.0K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Party | 67% | +2.5 | −0.5 | $12.1K | $69.9K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes67¢No34¢ |
| Labour Party | 33% | +6.0 | +0.5 | $12.9K | $85.2K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes33¢No67¢ |
| Green Party | <1% | — | — | $0 | $33.2K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| ACT New Zealand | <1% | — | — | $0 | $33.6K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| New Zealand First Party | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $33.7K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Te Pāti Māori | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $25.7K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Su Chiao-hui | 59% | +10 | +6.5 | $16.2K | $60.0K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes59¢No41¢ |
| Lee Shu-chuan | 40% | −9.0 | −7.5 | $6.6K | $74.9K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes40¢No61¢ |
| Huang Kuo-chang | <1% | — | — | $0 | $47.2K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Chiang | 77% | −2.0 | −7.5 | $9.2K | $56.7K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes77¢No23¢ |
| Ho Hsin-chun | 24% | +1.7 | +8.1 | $7.4K | $62.0K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes24¢No76¢ |
| Yang Chiung-ying | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $38.9K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Party | 97% | +11 | +15 | $7.9K | $35.7K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes97¢No2.7¢ |
| New Zealand First Party | 1.7% | −2.5 | −12 | $2.0K | $44.4K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes1.7¢No98¢ |
| ACT New Zealand | <1% | −6.5 | −5.7 | $2.6K | $46.9K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.8¢No99.2¢ |
| National Party | <1% | −1.0 | −1.9 | $1.3K | $45.3K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Labour Party | <1% | −3.5 | 0 | $422 | $28.2K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Te Pāti Māori | <1% | 0 | 0 | $166 | $28.0K | 8 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Kao | 86% | −2.5 | −2.0 | $5.6K | $34.9K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes86¢No14¢ |
| Chuang Ching-cheng | 15% | +3.1 | +2.5 | $3.8K | $52.1K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes15¢No85¢ |
| Ho Chih-yung | <1% | 0 | 0 | $1.3K | $35.7K | 29 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Democratic Party |
| $31M |
| 4 Nov 2026 |
| Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner | Amir Zuccolo | $33.8K | 3 Nov 2026 |
| Bulgaria Presidential Election | Iliana Iotova | $4.1M | 2 Nov 2026 |
| Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner | Other | $680K | 1 Nov 2026 |
| Israeli Legislative Election Winner | Likud | $17M | 31 Oct 2026 |
| Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory | Iotova <10% | $2.0M | 30 Oct 2026 |
| Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner | Steven Del Duca | $25.7K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats? | 36-39 | $68.8K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats? | 60-64 | $34.1K | 27 Oct 2026 |
Down 16 points in a week, 6.0× a normal week for this contract.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Up 1.8 points in a week, 1.7× a normal week for this contract.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
Your notebook
Market rulesCloses 19 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTCRead 5 Nov 2026, 09:33 UTC
Same as the market so far
Your scenario
43.0%
Market 43.0% · +0.0 pts
Your scenario, not a Vultax forecast.
Private to your account.
Scored when the market resolves.
Sign in to keep forecasts across devices.
