Prices as of 9 Oct 2026, 09:37 UTC. The market pays on who becomes mayor as a result of this vote, so an exact tie, which the Vancouver Charter sends to a judicial recount, would keep it open past election night.
Nothing here has moved by more than its normal daily swing. The prices below are where the market has settled for now.
Little change: −2.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 1.5.
Little change: +1.1 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 1.6.
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Each line is the price of one outcome on Polymarket, read as a probability. Hover or tap to read every line on the same day.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Fry | 33% | 65% |
| Ken Sim | 51% | 33% |
The order book behind “Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner”, read a minute ago.
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Fry | 64¢/67¢ | $403 · $2.9K | 67¢+0.4 | |
| Ken Sim | 32¢/33¢ | $233 · $439 | 39¢+6.1 | |
| Kareem Allam | 0.1¢/0.2¢ | $5 · $4 | 17¢+16 | |
| John Coupar | —/0.3¢ | $0 · $9 | 17¢+17 | |
| Kirk LaPointe | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $9 | 13¢+12 |
Average price a buy order of that size would pay against the offers resting now, and how many points that is above the best offer. “Within 2¢” is the dollars resting near the touch on the bid and the offer side.
Biggest holders in this market's two leading outcomes, valued at the current price. Open a name for the wallet's record on Vultax.
7 more positions in this market
Who holds the most on each side, valued at the current price, with each wallet's record one click away.
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Prints of $1,000 and more in the room's busiest markets, newest first.
2 more large trades in this room
Each print of $1,000 and more as it happens: who, which side, what price.
Every move in this room that cleared Vi IQ's "notable" line, stamped when it happened. Vultax has recorded this room since 5 Oct 2026.
5 earlier moves on record
The dated record of every meaningful move in this room: what moved, by how much against its own normal, and whether money came with it.
The name Polymarket priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before election day. The result is filled in when the market resolves.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
User reads of each candidate's English Wikipedia article, 9 Sep 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 (30 days), beside “Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner”. Shares are of the names listed here. A price far ahead of attention is a reason to look closer, not evidence of anything on its own.
One price per name Polymarket lists; untraded placeholders are left out
Largest price changes in points, counted only on markets that traded at least $1,000 in the same 24 hours. The number beside each move is that market’s 24-hour volume.
This room reads Polymarket's market on who becomes mayor of Vancouver at the general local election of 17 October 2026: one price per name the venue lists, with the 24-hour volume and resting liquidity behind it.
Polymarket added names while the field was still forming, so its list is not the ballot: names that left the race stay listed near zero until the market resolves. The Wikipedia table on this page reads only declared candidates who have an English article of their own, which leaves some names out.
Source: Wikimedia pageviews · user reads of each English Wikipedia article · read 9 Oct 2026
| 33% |
| −2.0 |
| −1.5 |
| $897 |
| $40.1K |
| 18 Oct 2026 |
| Yes33¢No68¢ |
| Kareem Allam | <1% | — | −2.6 | $84 | $44.6K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| John Coupar | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $29.9K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Kirk LaPointe | <1% | — | −0.8 | $0 | $36.8K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Rebecca Bligh | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $22.7K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| William Azaroff | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $34.1K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Sean Orr | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $25.9K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Colleen Hardwick | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $25.0K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Tim Louis | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $25.6K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Amanda Burrows | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $26.2K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Fred Harding | <1% | — | — | $0 | $22.2K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Stephanie Allen | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $30.0K | 18 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.