Prices as of 9 Oct 2026, 08:32 UTC. The market pays on who becomes mayor as a result of this vote; an interim mayor does not count.
Brad Bradford: Up 15 points in a week, 11× a normal week for this contract. Volume is 1.9× a normal day, so money came with it. 1 other outcome moved by more than noise.
Up 15 points in a week, 11× a normal week for this contract. Volume is 1.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 14 points in a week, 11× a normal week for this contract. Volume is 1.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
Trade Toronto Mayoral Election 2026 on paper, free
A free account gives you a practice balance at live Polymarket prices, a portfolio that marks itself, and Vi on every market. No card.
Each line is the price of one outcome on Polymarket, read as a probability. Hover or tap to read every line on the same day.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Olivia Chow | 90% | 73% |
| Brad Bradford | 6.0% | 27% |
The order book behind “Toronto Mayoral Election Winner”, read a minute ago.
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Chow | 72¢/74¢ | $5.3K · $9.4K | 74¢+0.0 | |
| Brad Bradford | 25¢/28¢ | $1.4K · $1.2K | 29¢+1.4 | |
| Ana Bailão | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $21 | 6.2¢+6.1 | |
| Michael Ford | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $34 | 6.1¢+6.0 | |
| Anthony Furey | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $21 | 6.6¢+6.5 |
Average price a buy order of that size would pay against the offers resting now, and how many points that is above the best offer. “Within 2¢” is the dollars resting near the touch on the bid and the offer side.
Biggest holders in this market's two leading outcomes, valued at the current price. Open a name for the wallet's record on Vultax.
7 more positions in this market
Who holds the most on each side, valued at the current price, with each wallet's record one click away.
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Prints of $1,000 and more in the room's busiest markets, newest first.
5 more large trades in this room
Each print of $1,000 and more as it happens: who, which side, what price.
Every move in this room that cleared Vi IQ's "notable" line, stamped when it happened. Vultax has recorded this room since 5 Oct 2026.
9 earlier moves on record
The dated record of every meaningful move in this room: what moved, by how much against its own normal, and whether money came with it.
The name Polymarket priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before election day. The result is filled in when the market resolves.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
User reads of each candidate's English Wikipedia article, 9 Sep 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 (30 days), beside “Toronto Mayoral Election Winner”. Shares are of the names listed here. A price far ahead of attention is a reason to look closer, not evidence of anything on its own.
Source: Wikimedia pageviews · user reads of each English Wikipedia article · read 9 Oct 2026
One price per name Polymarket lists; untraded placeholders are left out
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Chow | 73% | −5.5 | −14 | $7.5K | $80.0K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes73¢No27¢ |
| Brad Bradford |
Largest price changes in points, counted only on markets that traded at least $1,000 in the same 24 hours. The number beside each move is that market’s 24-hour volume.
Change in probability points since the same time the previous day
Change in probability points since the same time the previous week
This room reads Polymarket's market on who becomes mayor of Toronto at the municipal election of 26 October 2026: one price per name the venue lists, with the 24-hour volume and resting liquidity behind it.
The ballot is far longer than the market: Polymarket prices a handful of names, some of them added early and never filed, and those stay near zero until it resolves. The Wikipedia table on this page reads only candidates in the race who have an English article of their own.
| 27% |
| +4.0 |
| +15 |
| $17.8K |
| $81.6K |
| 27 Oct 2026 |
| Yes27¢No74¢ |
| Ana Bailão | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $54.1K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Michael Ford | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $54.2K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Anthony Furey | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $53.1K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Marco Mendicino | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $49.1K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| John Tory | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $53.1K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Kevin Clarke | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $53.1K | 27 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
