Analytics
Yes is at 28.5%, up 2.5 points from 26% when the market opened on 2 May 2026.
Across the 177 daily closes on record from 2 May 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 21 Jul 2026 and the lowest 22% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.5%; a month before, 32.5%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 22% on 3 Oct 2026.
Axel Kicillof ranks second of the 21 outcomes in “Argentina Presidential Election Winner”. Javier Milei leads at 43.5%; Sergio Massa is at 15%.
$652.94 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $149.03K since listing. The order book holds $62.97K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $5.33K bought Yes and $10.1K bought No; the largest was a $1.41K buy of Yes at 36.6¢.
The largest Yes position is Plata-O-Mierda with 65.7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 57K. Ten wallets hold 92% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 2 May 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 26.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Plata-O-Mierda | Yes | 65.68K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 57.04K |
| RealBobby | No | 8.5K |
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/argentina-presidential-election-winner
9 more outcomes, none above 0.3%.
| Remote-Testing |
| Yes |
| 3.83K |
| Andypro | No | 1.98K |
| newbie77 | Yes | 1.96K |
| Violet Oracle 91DB | No | 1.69K |
| Thoughtful-Scalp | No | 1.03K |
| quebupo | No | 918.21 |
| jijodebot | No | 681.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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