Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
86% odds · entered at 58%
- Wallet age
- 1.9y
- Position size
- $36.2K
4 of 8 axes · 2 positions observed
Each card reads one wallet against eight candidate axes — markets held, settled win rate, edge, position size, wallet age, concentration, longshot conviction and momentum. An axis Vultax cannot compute for a wallet is left out of the shape; it is never shown as zero, and a radar built from fewer than five axes is scored down accordingly. The figures under the radar are the same observation the shape was drawn from.
A wallet needs at least three measurable axes to get a card, which is why the count above is smaller than the number of wallets in the observation. Most of the rest hold a single position: concentration and conviction are then arithmetic rather than a reading, so they are not claimed.
Source: the accepted Polymarket crypto holder baseline, observed Aug 23, 3:29 AM · 21d ago. This is a snapshot with a timestamp, not a live quote, so the board is not ordered by recency. Watch only — nothing here is advice or a recommendation.
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
86% odds · entered at 58%
4 of 8 axes · 2 positions observed
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
81% odds · entered at 59%
6 of 8 axes · 14 positions observed
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
78% odds · entered at 49%
4 of 8 axes · 2 positions observed
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
95% odds · entered at 93%
6 of 8 axes · 12 positions observed
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
87% odds · entered at 46%
6 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
98% odds · entered at 90%
6 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
74% odds · entered at 43%
6 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
95% odds · entered at 50%
6 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
98% odds · entered at 71%
4 of 8 axes · 2 positions observed
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
99% odds · entered at 95%
6 of 8 axes · 7 positions observed
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
86% odds · entered at 78%
6 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
99% odds · entered at 95%
6 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
97% odds · entered at 91%
6 of 8 axes · 7 positions observed
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
72% odds · entered at 66%
6 of 8 axes · 7 positions observed
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
97% odds · entered at 89%
4 of 8 axes · 2 positions observed
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
92% odds · entered at 72%
6 of 8 axes · 5 positions observed
Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?
99% odds · entered at 99%
6 of 8 axes · 4 positions observed
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?
100% odds · entered at 98%
4 of 8 axes · 2 positions observed
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
99% odds · entered at 99%
4 of 8 axes · 2 positions observed
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
88% odds · entered at 59%
5 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?
99% odds · entered at 97%
6 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
99% odds · entered at 99%
4 of 8 axes · 2 positions observed
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
94% odds · entered at 96%
6 of 8 axes · 3 positions observed
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
84% odds · entered at 66%
5 of 8 axes · 13 positions observed