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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 120.93K | $0.888 | $113.07K | +$5.72K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 343.33 | $0.850 | $291.83 | 17h ago |
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| No |
| 105K |
| $0.989 |
| $104.95K |
| +$1.13K |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 70.14K | $0.991 | $69.82K | +$337.04 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 70.08K | $0.983 | $69.63K | +$750.83 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 68K | $0.864 | $64.26K | +$5.52K |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 52.53K | $0.893 | $49.11K | +$2.21K |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 45.96K | $0.860 | $43.2K | +$3.66K |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 40.25K | $0.976 | $39.59K | +$321.65 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 39.49K | $0.986 | $39.35K | +$406.88 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 37.38K | $0.986 | $37.02K | +$167.5 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 22.11K | $0.973 | $21.86K | +$349.24 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 20.93K | $0.961 | $20.11K | -$14.72 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 20K | $0.992 | $19.91K | +$70 |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 18.26K | $0.972 | $18.12K | +$380.45 |
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 16.01K | $0.982 | $15.89K | +$175.12 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.44K | $0.847 | $15.37K | +$1.45K |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 12.81K | $0.906 | $11.98K | +$364.7 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 11.82K | $0.967 | $11.48K | +$48.25 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 8.94K | $0.805 | $8.58K | +$1.39K |
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.61K | $0.921 | $8.26K | +$329.34 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.63K | $0.977 | $7.56K | +$103.77 |
Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 6.25K | $0.992 | $6.2K | -$0.19 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.890 | $4.62K | +$175 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.12K | $0.895 | $3.93K | +$245.78 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.92K | $0.954 | $2.9K | +$110.11 |
| buy |
| 90 |
| $0.991 |
| $89.19 |
| 20h ago |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 6.69K | $0.991 | $6.63K | 23h ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.965 | $2.04K | 1d ago |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.990 | $1.38K | 1d ago |
Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.990 | $1.48K | 3d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.988 | $1.13K | 5d ago |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 29.2 | $0.975 | $28.47 | 7d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.23K | $0.962 | $2.14K | 7d ago |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 237.91 | $0.981 | $233.39 | 7d ago |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 527.39 | $0.980 | $516.84 | 7d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 219.76 | $0.992 | $218 | 10d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.26K | $0.994 | $8.21K | 10d ago |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 80.49 | $0.988 | $79.52 | 11d ago |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.75K | $0.966 | $3.62K | 11d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.991 | $1.11K | 11d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 578.58 | $0.994 | $575.11 | 11d ago |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 4K | $0.969 | $3.88K | 11d ago |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 300.28 | $0.974 | $292.47 | 11d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 652.22 | $0.988 | $644.39 | 11d ago |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 222.66 | $0.968 | $215.53 | 11d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 707.98 | $0.986 | $698.07 | 11d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?No | sell | 4.45K | $0.999 | $4.45K | 11d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 5.37K | $0.990 | $5.32K | 12d ago |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 297.04 | $0.976 | $289.91 | 12d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 144.21 | $0.984 | $141.9 | 13d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 300.1 | $0.958 | $287.5 | 13d ago |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.997 | $1.99K | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 860 | $0.970 | $834.2 | 13d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 404.53 | $0.983 | $397.65 | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.962 | $1.93K | 13d ago |
Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 4.68K | $0.997 | $4.66K | 13d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.79K | $0.920 | $11.76K | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 311.55 | $0.996 | $310.3 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.24 | $0.919 | $103.1 | 14d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 3.87K | $0.997 | $3.86K | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.950 | $5.52 | 14d ago |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 300.1 | $0.967 | $290.2 | 15d ago |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 7.89K | $0.986 | $7.78K | 16d ago |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.986 | $2.03K | 16d ago |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.984 | $2.33K | 16d ago |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5.63K | $0.978 | $5.51K | 16d ago |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 70.1 | $0.980 | $68.7 | 20d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.99K | $0.984 | $3.93K | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?No | buy | 6.09K | $0.985 | $6K | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?No | buy | 10.35K | $0.994 | $10.29K | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?No | buy | 400 | $0.993 | $397.2 | 21d ago |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 18.29K | $0.991 | $18.13K | 21d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 7.85K | $0.991 | $7.78K | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 699.78 | $0.995 | $696.28 | 21d ago |