Analytics
Yes is at 0.9%, about where the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”.
$69.02K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $353.56K since listing. The order book holds $172.26K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 227 trades, $808.81 bought Yes and $273.65K bought No; the largest was a $99K buy of No at 99.0¢.
The largest Yes position is TexasOx with 238.5K shares; the largest No position is qmarktea2 with 100K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 24 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 2:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 2 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
| xasd-440 |
| Yes |
| 32.42K |
| thoodr | No | 32.15K |
| Detailed-Poison | No | 30.86K |
| Santaluchia | Yes | 15.67K |
| largeleeks888 | No | 15K |
| Lolololol | No | 13.36K |
| UAPPolly | Yes | 11.35K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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