Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 255.1K | $0.879 | $235.96K | +$11.68K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.960 | $960 | 20h ago |
 |
| No |
| 89.32K |
| $0.973 |
| $87.93K |
| +$1.07K |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 68.67K | $0.921 | $67.23K | +$4K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 78K | $0.818 | $66.69K | +$2.86K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 73.61K | $0.817 | $57.41K | -$2.75K |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 52.95K | $0.949 | $52.08K | +$1.82K |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 47.16K | $0.979 | $46.61K | +$452.08 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 46.57K | $0.977 | $45.94K | +$441.98 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 51.24K | $0.862 | $43.3K | -$890.88 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 45.17K | $0.925 | $40.07K | -$1.71K |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 40.68K | $0.882 | $38.45K | +$2.55K |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 34.78K | $0.974 | $33.98K | +$116.99 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 26.6K | $0.958 | $25.58K | +$105.31 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 25.63K | $0.991 | $25.54K | +$148.17 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | Yes | 23.15K | $0.914 | $22.22K | +$1.05K |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 21.29K | $0.905 | $19.69K | +$432.45 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 19.5K | $0.960 | $19.37K | +$660.68 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | Yes | 19.81K | $0.956 | $19.36K | +$432.34 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 19.24K | $0.878 | $17.99K | +$1.1K |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 18.1K | $0.944 | $17.29K | +$191.52 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.96K | $0.857 | $16.8K | +$1.4K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.8K | $0.893 | $16.64K | -$153.84 |
 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 16.6K | $0.957 | $16.12K | +$240.43 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 19.7K | $0.887 | $15.23K | -$2.26K |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 13.55K | $0.892 | $13.45K | +$1.36K |
| buy |
| 3.2K |
| $0.960 |
| $3.07K |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.964 | $1.26K | 1d ago |
 Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsNo | buy | 331.7 | $0.915 | $303.49 | 1d ago |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.800 | $800 | 1d ago |
 Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.917 | $550.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 2.69K | $0.995 | $2.68K | 1d ago |
 Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.934 | $1.11K | 1d ago |
| Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.956 | $2.83K | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 8K | $0.870 | $6.96K | 1d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 3K | $0.900 | $2.7K | 1d ago |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.980 | $3.14K | 1d ago |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 1d ago |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | buy | 800 | $0.910 | $728 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | 1d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 3K | $0.930 | $2.79K | 1d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.950 | $1.14K | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.950 | $332.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.938 | $1.59K | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.940 | $2.07K | 1d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.940 | $2.82K | 1d ago |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.900 | $315 | 1d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.890 | $1.78K | 1d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.975 | $1.85K | 1d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.958 | $3.54K | 1d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 8K | $0.950 | $7.6K | 1d ago |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 850 | $0.980 | $833 | 1d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 8K | $0.920 | $7.36K | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 437.94 | $0.980 | $429.18 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 9K | $0.999 | $8.99K | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.900 | $6.3K | 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.940 | $1.88K | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.975 | $1.17K | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 128.18 | $0.981 | $125.74 | 1d ago |
 Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | 1d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.975 | $292.5 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.860 | $1.72K | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 11K | $0.979 | $10.77K | 2d ago |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | 2d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.930 | $111.6 | 2d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IL-09 House seat?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.950 | $14.25 | 2d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 3K | $0.999 | $3K | 2d ago |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 3.99K | $0.975 | $3.89K | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.860 | $3.44K | 4d ago |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.930 | $83.7 | 4d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.930 | $2.79K | 4d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.983 | $4.92K | 4d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.993 | $993 | 4d ago |
 Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.900 | $63 | 4d ago |