Analytics
thoodr has made $91.33K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 95K | $0.942 | $89.78K | +$325.28 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 03:42 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 15:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 15:49 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 03:42 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $109.4K and losing ones cost $111.32K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $22.45K on “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $17.58K on “Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 964 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.49M across 165 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 77.4K |
| $0.938 |
| $64.47K |
| -$8.15K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 78K | $0.818 | $62.4K | -$1.43K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 73.61K | $0.817 | $59.99K | -$173.05 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 59.55K | $0.977 | $59.28K | +$1.13K |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 57.86K | $0.925 | $55.26K | +$1.72K |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 53.8K | $0.984 | $53.5K | +$538.22 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 56.74K | $0.861 | $52.48K | +$3.65K |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 53K | $0.940 | $49.56K | -$284.79 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 52.04K | $0.927 | $48.65K | +$434.46 |
 Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 43.79K | $0.900 | $40.29K | +$890.49 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 40.79K | $0.976 | $40.12K | +$321.09 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 40.53K | $0.975 | $40.06K | +$547.78 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 46.93K | $0.928 | $36.84K | -$6.71K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 42.81K | $0.882 | $36.82K | -$963.75 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 34.48K | $0.947 | $33.46K | +$797.98 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 32.69K | $0.982 | $32.35K | +$245.66 |
 Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 31.78K | $0.952 | $31.01K | +$731.96 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 31.09K | $0.933 | $27.83K | -$1.19K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 26.23K | $0.932 | $25.9K | +$1.46K |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 22.4K | $0.974 | $22.11K | +$299.67 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 22K | $0.950 | $21.39K | +$501.07 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 21.77K | $0.905 | $21.03K | +$1.33K |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 21.2K | $0.941 | $20.86K | +$918.83 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 23K | $0.852 | $19.65K | +$53.54 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
