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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 275.72K | $0.985 | $274.48K | +$3K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 2K | $0.890 | $1.78K | 14d ago |
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| No |
| 121K |
| $0.889 |
| $113.14K |
| +$5.55K |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 100K | $0.982 | $99.35K | +$1.13K |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 7.88K | $0.930 | $7.71K | +$385.91 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 0.18 | $0.797 | $0.17 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 186.69 |
| $0.981 |
| $183.14 |
| 14d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.05K | $0.986 | $5.97K | 16d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 138.9 | $0.982 | $136.4 | 19d ago |
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | 25d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 6.35K | $0.779 | $4.95K | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 466.94K | $0.781 | $364.74K | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 347K | $0.770 | $267.19K | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 68.47K | $0.740 | $50.67K | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 30.91K | $0.780 | $24.11K | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2.44K | $0.790 | $1.93K | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.272 | $1.36 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 3.64K | $0.270 | $982.87 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.43K | $0.261 | $1.16K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.05K | $0.265 | $3.2K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.3K | $0.261 | $861.56 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 28.3K | $0.264 | $7.47K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.11K | $0.261 | $1.07K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 879.52 | $0.250 | $219.88 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.31K | $0.241 | $2K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.01K | $0.245 | $1.47K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.241 | $529.84 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.15K | $0.240 | $1.24K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 53.53 | $0.230 | $12.31 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 7.03K | $0.237 | $1.67K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.91K | $0.243 | $1.68K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.81K | $0.240 | $8.11K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Trump out as President by July 31?No | sell | 7.66K | $0.996 | $7.63K | Jul 23, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?No | sell | 10.3K | $0.997 | $10.27K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.53K | $0.992 | $10.45K | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.85K | $0.857 | $77.84K | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.04K | $0.819 | $26.24K | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 15.82K | $0.740 | $11.71K | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 30.92K | $0.710 | $21.95K | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 78.31 | $0.630 | $49.34 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 300 | $0.610 | $183 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.12K | $0.770 | $1.63K | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 336 | $0.968 | $325.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.146 | $730 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 9.17K | $0.150 | $1.38K | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes | buy | 46.84 | $0.934 | $43.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 108.07 | $0.982 | $106.12 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.49K | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 333.21 | $0.997 | $332.21 | Jun 25, 2026 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 417.01 | $0.850 | $354.46 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3.87K | $0.880 | $3.4K | Jun 15, 2026 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 6.34 | $0.790 | $5.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 577.36 | $0.964 | $556.58 | Jun 11, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.070 | $700 | Jun 9, 2026 |