Analytics
Yes is at 3.4%, down 24 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 8 Nov 2025.
Across the 320 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 50.5% on 9 Jan 2026.
$333.12 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $876.99K since listing. The order book holds $20.76K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.96K bought Yes and $9.68K bought No; the largest was a $2.49K buy of No at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is cbgjvfyg6ybgfvukgv with 50K shares; the largest No position is Detailed-Poison with 145.7K. Ten wallets hold 60.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Nov 2026, 27 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 9:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 320 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 27.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Detailed-Poison | No | 145.74K |
| cbgjvfyg6ybgfvukgv | Yes | 50K |
| 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | No | 36.85K |
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gta-6-launch-postponed-again
| grapygroyp | Yes | 27.76K |
| TheEmprah | No | 26.65K |
| Composed-Creditor | Yes | 16.37K |
| vrainic | Yes | 10.19K |
| zthunderfury | No | 10.1K |
| dontshowmyname | Yes | 9K |
| grimlin | Yes | 8.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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