Analytics
zthunderfury has made $30.82K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 45.79K | $0.837 | $37.32K | -$1K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 02:25 UTC
Polymarket public position response
41 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 12:53 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 02:25 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $68.26K and losing ones cost $61.67K across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.65K on “Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” (Yes); the largest loss, $16.33K on “Maduro out by January 31, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 502 markets. Its open positions are worth $273.53K across 41 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 40.6K |
| $0.894 |
| $37.15K |
| +$838.29 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 31.32K | $0.961 | $30.55K | +$455.8 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 32.06K | $0.870 | $27.42K | -$492.93 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.57K | $0.823 | $27.02K | -$605.71 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 22.67K | $0.922 | $20.75K | -$161.39 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 10.1K | $0.812 | $9.76K | +$1.56K |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.970 | $9.7K | -$5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 9.53K | $0.888 | $8.91K | +$447.48 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 9.1K | $0.867 | $8.24K | +$347.45 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 7.77K | $0.729 | $7.19K | +$1.52K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 7.17K | $0.944 | $7.01K | +$240.91 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.01K | $0.801 | $5.62K | +$9.37 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 4.08K | $0.928 | $3.9K | +$107.85 |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | No | 3.85K | $0.958 | $3.75K | +$54.3 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.56K | $0.780 | $3.58K | +$23.32 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 3.11K | $0.940 | $3.05K | +$125.98 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 3K | $0.880 | $2.82K | +$180.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.903 | $2.74K | +$34.46 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.57K | $0.724 | $2.62K | +$40.14 |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 3.9K | $0.627 | $2.47K | +$30.26 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3.1K | $0.500 | $2.46K | +$912.95 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.21K | $0.472 | $2.09K | -$841.07 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.91K | $0.870 | $1.8K | +$143.23 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.760 | $1.55K | +$30 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
