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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 77.67K | $0.967 | $76.78K | +$1.63K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.962 | $4.81 | 17h ago |
|
| No |
| 28.69K |
| $0.820 |
| $24.53K |
| +$1.02K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 22.43K | $0.891 | $22.23K | +$2.24K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 15K | $0.743 | $14.18K | +$3.03K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 16.25K | $0.799 | $13.73K | +$741.55 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 15.4K | $0.848 | $13.48K | +$415.64 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 9.82K | $0.967 | $9.76K | +$263.8 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 10.02K | $0.811 | $9.37K | +$1.25K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.99K | $0.930 | $9.34K | +$49.95 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 9.55K | $0.944 | $9.17K | +$158.37 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 9.4K | $0.928 | $8.97K | +$256.86 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 10.35K | $0.731 | $8.64K | +$1.08K |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10.77K | $0.500 | $8.18K | +$2.8K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 8.01K | $0.841 | $6.93K | +$192.74 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 4.51K | $0.954 | $4.4K | +$104.6 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 3.72K | $0.940 | $3.51K | +$18.58 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 3K | $0.880 | $2.78K | +$135 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.77K | $0.500 | $2.59K | -$2.8K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 2.74K | $0.910 | $2.51K | +$13.71 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.46K | $0.959 | $2.35K | -$5.35 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 800.12 | $0.775 | $692.11 | +$72.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 974.52 | $0.758 | $667.55 | -$71.45 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 750.01 | $0.680 | $551.26 | +$41.25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 529.74 | $0.778 | $458.23 | +$45.82 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.750 | $279.6 | +$54.6 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.962 |
| $4.81 |
| 17h ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 0.49 | $0.961 | $0.47 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 16.09 | $0.961 | $15.46 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 24.85 | $0.961 | $23.88 | 4d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 2.74K | $0.910 | $2.5K | 4d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 2.46K | $0.959 | $2.36K | 4d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.963 | $19.26 | 4d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 718.04 | $0.610 | $437.79 | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | 8d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | 8d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.969 | $5.76 | 8d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.969 | $8.82 | 8d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 14.35 | $0.969 | $13.91 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.657 | $985.89 | 9d ago |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 375.37 | $0.614 | $230.48 | 10d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 10K | $0.870 | $8.7K | 10d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.930 | $9.3K | 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.940 | $3.76K | 10d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.830 | $1.28K | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.740 | $1.11K | 12d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.680 | $1.02K | 12d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.840 | $8.4K | 12d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.17 | $0.988 | $7.08 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.957 | $956.75 | 12d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 670 | $0.969 | $649.23 | 14d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.830 | $3.32K | 16d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 9.72K | $0.967 | $9.4K | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.08K | $0.640 | $1.33K | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.850 | $2.13K | 16d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 8.65K | $0.965 | $8.35K | 17d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 15K | $0.970 | $14.55K | 17d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 460.58 | $0.830 | $382.28 | 17d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.52K | $0.968 | $10.19K | 17d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.810 | $4.05K | 18d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 622.02 | $0.800 | $497.62 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 10K | $0.830 | $8.3K | 18d ago |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | sell | 8K | $0.910 | $7.28K | 18d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 9.72K | $0.880 | $8.55K | 18d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 15K | $0.961 | $14.42K | 19d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 839.25 | $0.984 | $825.82 | 19d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 7K | $0.780 | $5.46K | 19d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.880 | $4.4K | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.920 | $2.3K | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.720 | $1.8K | 19d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.27K | $0.976 | $6.12K | 19d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.780 | $3.12K | 19d ago |