Analytics
Yes is at 94.5%, up 5.5 points from 89% when the market opened on 2 Jun 2026.
Across the 144 daily closes on record from 2 Jun 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 61% on 8 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 78.5%; a month before, 75.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 61% on 8 Jul 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Anthropic IPO by __?”.
$11.59K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.45M since listing. The order book holds $46.01K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $36.8K bought Yes and $6.56K bought No; the largest was a $9.23K buy of Yes at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Silver Signal 409F with 32.3K shares; the largest No position is occasionalAwareness with 52.4K. Ten wallets hold 37.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 144 points, 2 Jun 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2026 | 89.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 94.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| occasionalAwareness | No | 52.45K |
| Silver Signal 409F | Yes | 32.28K |
| ThisAgain | No | 30K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by
1 more market, none above 0.1%.
| thoodr | Yes | 21.8K |
| Erasmus. | Yes | 20.71K |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | Yes | 20K |
| BigMackyG | No | 19.47K |
| anoin123 | No | 18.49K |
| aenews2 | Yes | 15.42K |
| Gorgeous-Tonic | No | 13.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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