Analytics
Yes is at 60.5%, up 13 points from 48% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 60.5% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Anthropic IPO by __?”.
$1.46K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.58K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 30 trades, $444.02 bought Yes and $204.09 bought No.
The largest Yes position is KimchiCapital with 883 shares; the largest No position is SuperTests with 166. Ten wallets hold 85% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Nov 2026, 29 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 8:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KimchiCapital | Yes | 883.28 |
| SuperTests | No | 166 |
| AJSV | No | 116.67 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by
| LornaPredicts |
| No |
| 98 |
| JsonStatham | No | 80 |
| FluffyTeddyBear | No | 65 |
| Outrageous-Sauerkraut | No | 50 |
| boofa | No | 40 |
| Malganis | No | 37.13 |
| lissartter | No | 31.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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