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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.88K | $0.870 | $1.63K | -$9.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 214.1 | $0.610 | $130.6 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 1.74K |
| $0.750 |
| $1.33K |
| +$26.13 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.44K | $0.479 | $1.23K | +$63.16 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11K | $0.900 | $1.03K | +$27.78 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1K | $0.880 | $875 | -$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.635 | $807.58 | +$24.39 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 660 | $0.764 | $527.67 | +$23.43 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 561 | $0.787 | $493.68 | +$52.21 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 2.88K | $0.176 | $446.23 | -$61.97 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 1.59K | $0.292 | $436.8 | -$27.8 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.210 | $410 | -$10 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 642.32 | $0.539 | $324.37 | -$22.18 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.380 | $313.88 | -$90.44 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.240 | $299.09 | +$51.57 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 330 | $0.810 | $285.45 | +$18.15 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.364 | $283.1 | -$85.33 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.41K | $0.141 | $265.29 | +$66.15 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 370.19 | $0.640 | $238.77 | +$1.85 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.201 | $229.7 | -$193.62 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 4.74K | $0.135 | $206.25 | -$432.26 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 3.1K | $0.070 | $170.5 | -$46.5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 305.5 | $0.670 | $154.28 | -$50.41 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.160 | $145 | -$15 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.05K | $0.017 | $139.64 | +$70.83 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.03K | $0.090 | $132.22 | -$50.85 |
| sell |
| 376.58 |
| $0.280 |
| $105.44 |
| 7h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 327.99 | $0.640 | $209.91 | 7h ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 954.1 | $0.900 | $858.69 | 1d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 660 | $0.764 | $504.24 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 879.46 | $0.870 | $765.13 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 109.99 | $0.780 | $85.79 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 63.6 | $0.770 | $48.97 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 63.96 | $0.690 | $44.13 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 146.04 | $0.690 | $100.77 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.690 | $144.9 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 99.77 | $0.690 | $68.84 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 165.81 | $0.700 | $116.07 | 3d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.47K | $0.043 | $106.02 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 461 | $0.784 | $361.47 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.750 | $1.31K | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 373.84 | $0.650 | $243 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 856.42 | $0.540 | $462.06 | 3d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 940.34 | $0.640 | $601.82 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.402 | $488.5 | 3d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.380 | $404.32 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.77 | $0.370 | $13.97 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.360 | $19.8 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.42 | $0.360 | $37.95 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 620 | $0.360 | $223.2 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.390 | $15.6 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 896.65 | $0.520 | $466.26 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.600 | $1.77 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 46.73 | $0.540 | $25.23 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.550 | $8.24 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 305.71 | $0.583 | $178.25 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 86.49 | $0.560 | $48.43 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 31.63 | $0.577 | $18.25 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.590 | $7.38 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 77.63 | $0.575 | $44.61 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.570 | $8.55 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.565 | $5.65 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 36.73 | $0.566 | $20.79 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.46 | $0.561 | $13.15 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 37.8 | $0.580 | $21.92 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.42 | $0.570 | $4.23 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 182.52 | $0.430 | $78.48 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 17.48 | $0.430 | $7.52 | 4d ago |