Analytics
Yes is at 60.5%, down 25 points from 85% when the market opened on 8 Sep 2026.
The high was 89.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the low 49.5% on 21 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 69.5%; a month ago, 83.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 57% on 20 Sep 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “Anthropic IPO by __?”.
$9.56K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $253.54K since listing. The order book holds $16.68K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $23.33K bought Yes and $15.56K bought No; the largest was a $3.53K buy of Yes at 68.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Pump with 9.2K shares; the largest No position is M2sx92kljs42 with 13.8K. Ten wallets hold 45.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 3:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 8 Sep 2026 – 10 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 85.0% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 13.76K |
| Pump | Yes | 9.25K |
| kevinzhaoo | No | 8.87K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by
| Mac-Gyver |
| No |
| 7.62K |
| rewardbots | No | 7.07K |
| l3t0 | Yes | 6.81K |
| charliealmanack | Yes | 5.19K |
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 4.35K |
| Capital-Endoderm | No | 4K |
| Quarzo | Yes | 3.97K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
