Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 36.1K | $0.069 | $28.34K | +$25.85K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 1.71K | $0.039 | $65.72 | 22h ago |
 |
| No |
| 20K |
| $0.910 |
| $18.5K |
| +$300 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 15K | $0.920 | $14.18K | +$375.02 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 15.32K | $0.334 | $12.72K | +$7.61K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 14.58K | $0.653 | $12.47K | +$2.95K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.66K | $0.185 | $8.92K | +$4.92K |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 9.72K | $0.775 | $7.68K | +$140.85 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 8.62K | $0.414 | $6.73K | +$3.15K |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 6.17K | $0.843 | $5.64K | +$445.9 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 4.01K | $0.669 | $3.55K | +$865.69 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 3.16K | $0.826 | $2.76K | +$153.14 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 2.71K | $0.728 | $2.53K | +$556.73 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.63K | $0.560 | $2.27K | +$800.76 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 2.09K | $0.651 | $1.36K | -$2.61 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 1.11K | $0.747 | $989.43 | +$163.1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 970.95 | $0.669 | $839.87 | +$190.68 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 880.71 | $0.823 | $832.27 | +$107.4 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.090 | $810 | +$630 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 663.51 | $0.776 | $607.11 | +$91.98 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 5.3K | $0.132 | $556.87 | -$142.27 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 632.11 | $0.659 | $486.72 | +$70.12 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.870 | $457.5 | +$22.5 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 500 | $0.840 | $427.5 | +$7.5 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | No | 397.69 | $0.680 | $278.38 | +$7.78 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 257.54 | $0.726 | $245.95 | +$58.91 |
| sell |
| 1.47K |
| $0.100 |
| $146.72 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 15.05K | $0.180 | $2.7K | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 480.76 | $0.200 | $96.15 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 149.98 | $0.280 | $41.99 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.280 | $288.4 | 3d ago |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 128.7 | $0.799 | $102.87 | 3d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 87.93 | $0.892 | $78.46 | 3d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 6.3K | $0.994 | $6.26K | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 3.06K | $0.343 | $1.05K | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 20.07K | $0.360 | $7.22K | 3d ago |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk in September?No | buy | 34.1 | $0.212 | $7.22 | 6d ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 6d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 9.22K | $0.776 | $7.16K | 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 449.01 | $0.908 | $407.64 | 6d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.170 | $300 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.870 | $435 | 8d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 6.36K | $0.880 | $5.6K | 11d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.1K | $0.845 | $6K | 12d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 200.11 | $0.766 | $153.19 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 10K | $0.996 | $9.96K | 13d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.147 | $153.14 | 16d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 4.26K | $0.128 | $546 | 16d ago |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 77 | $0.930 | $71.61 | 17d ago |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | buy | 144.39 | $0.764 | $110.27 | 17d ago |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | buy | 542 | $0.767 | $415.61 | 17d ago |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | buy | 419.12 | $0.717 | $300.46 | 17d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 98.8 | $0.840 | $82.99 | 17d ago |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.58K | $0.662 | $7K | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.77K | $0.927 | $7.2K | 20d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 4.01K | $0.669 | $2.68K | 20d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 851.2 | $0.930 | $791.62 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 432 | $0.610 | $263.41 | 25d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 3.65K | $0.859 | $3.13K | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.66K | $0.185 | $4K | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 970.95 | $0.669 | $649.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 5.71K | $0.875 | $5K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 4.55K | $0.660 | $3K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.32K | $0.484 | $5K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.99K | $0.550 | $1.65K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.64K | $0.266 | $2.3K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 2.71K | $0.728 | $1.97K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 4.53K | $0.850 | $3.85K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 560.49 | $0.780 | $437.18 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 642.99 | $0.818 | $526.12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.569 | $639.22 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 4.78K | $0.569 | $2.72K | Aug 5, 2026 |