Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.74K | $0.367 | $1.55K | +$178.74 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.94% in September?No | sell | 101 | $0.811 | $81.91 | 11h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3K |
| $0.269 |
| $1.39K |
| +$587.14 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3K | $0.247 | $914.99 | +$175 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.9K | $0.548 | $780.62 | -$263.51 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 1.1K | $0.498 | $527.94 | -$19.99 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.324 | $524.95 | -$1.09K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1K | $0.370 | $485 | +$115 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | $0.245 | $471.56 | -$91.17 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | Yes | 6.22K | $0.268 | $466.27 | -$1.2K |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 801 | $0.520 | $452.57 | +$36.08 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 4.07K | $0.106 | $437.58 | +$6.79 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 2.6K | $0.167 | $402.99 | -$31 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 1.01K | $0.558 | $377 | -$183.85 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.263 | $361.45 | -$113.41 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 2.91K | $0.223 | $349.11 | -$300.39 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.33K | $0.415 | $337.84 | -$629.98 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.350 | $335 | -$15 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | $0.376 | $330.62 | -$156.82 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.195 | $330 | -$60 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | No | 515.19 | $0.490 | $316.84 | +$64.18 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.167 | $315 | -$185 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.394 | $314.98 | -$1.06K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.18K | $0.293 | $313.85 | -$911.08 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 4.99K | $0.123 | $309.34 | -$306.78 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3.93K | $0.105 | $294.94 | -$118.98 |
| sell |
| 90.43 |
| $0.742 |
| $67.12 |
| 11h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.91% in September?No | sell | 160.19 | $0.750 | $120.14 | 11h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.88% in September?No | sell | 80 | $0.630 | $50.4 | 11h ago |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.330 | $36.3 | 18h ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.190 | $34.2 | 19h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | 20h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 289.99 | $0.389 | $112.8 | 20h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 127.38 | $0.440 | $56.05 | 21h ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.180 | $27 | 21h ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | 21h ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.170 | $8.5 | 21h ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.170 | $22.95 | 21h ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | 21h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.210 | $34.23 | 22h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.440 | $220 | 22h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 258 | $0.550 | $141.9 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | sell | 720 | $0.630 | $453.6 | 1d ago |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | 1d ago |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 410.77 | $0.250 | $102.69 | 1d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.240 | $19.2 | 1d ago |
 Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 60.74 | $0.170 | $10.33 | 1d ago |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | 1d ago |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.68 | $0.600 | $7.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 94.44 | $0.360 | $34 | 1d ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 86.57 | $0.350 | $30.3 | 1d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.190 | $35.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 277.22 | $0.114 | $31.59 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 33.06 | $0.111 | $3.67 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.110 | $12.1 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 470 | $0.240 | $112.8 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 531.07 | $0.230 | $122.15 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.190 | $30.4 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 344.07 | $0.180 | $61.93 | 1d ago |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | 1d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 234.3 | $0.350 | $81.89 | 1d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 140.39 | $0.330 | $46.33 | 1d ago |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.270 | $67.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.270 | $189 | 1d ago |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 40.72 | $0.254 | $10.33 | 1d ago |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 268.37 | $0.250 | $67.09 | 1d ago |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 149.81 | $0.154 | $23.07 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 570.99 | $0.140 | $79.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 469.6 | $0.139 | $65.22 | 1d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.660 | $39.6 | 1d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 237.41 | $0.170 | $40.36 | 1d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 76.84 | $0.160 | $12.29 | 1d ago |