Analytics
Yes is at 82%, up 44 points from 37.5% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
Across the 50 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 17 Oct 2026. The current quote, 82%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 80.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.5%; a month before, 60%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 55.5% on 4 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?”.
$27.76K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $574.57K since listing. The order book holds $37.59K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $37.73K bought Yes and $15.68K bought No; the largest was a $10.43K sell of Yes at 78.0¢.
The largest Yes position is GoldmanForts with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is Capital-Endoderm with 6.5K. Ten wallets hold 44.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 33 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 37.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 80.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Capital-Endoderm | No | 6.54K |
| GoldmanForts | Yes | 5.95K |
| Outsmarter | Yes | 5.56K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716
| Madsolbro |
| Yes |
| 4.87K |
| mehanizator | Yes | 4.83K |
| paddaa | No | 2.02K |
| Romkos7 | Yes | 2K |
| anoin123 | No | 1.97K |
| A1VENGO | No | 1.89K |
| trx1 | No | 1.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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