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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.09K | $0.780 | $11.45K | +$1.25K |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.686 | $1K | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 10K |
| $0.920 |
| $9.45K |
| +$250 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.82K | $0.906 | $7.47K | +$385.49 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.8K | $0.909 | $6.36K | +$174.01 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.54K | $0.889 | $5.24K | +$307.49 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.780 | $4.53K | +$625.01 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 4.02K | $0.902 | $3.72K | +$91.55 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 3.5K | $0.892 | $3.18K | +$62.5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.767 | $3.1K | +$31.04 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.27K | $0.907 | $3.05K | +$90.44 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 3K | $0.920 | $2.92K | +$162 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3K | $0.940 | $2.8K | -$15 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.58K | $0.630 | $2.74K | +$483.53 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 2.97K | $0.798 | $2.66K | +$287.09 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3K | $0.806 | $2.63K | +$206.38 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.02K | $0.668 | $2.3K | +$278.13 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.870 | $1.81K | +$70 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3.05K | $0.504 | $1.75K | +$212.09 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 1.58K | $0.897 | $1.5K | +$83.45 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 58.79K | $0.024 | $1.38K | -$50 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.35K | $0.795 | $1.22K | +$148.12 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.43K | $0.790 | $1.18K | +$50.61 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.685 | $1.03K | +$28.34 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 1K | $0.930 | $978.5 | +$48.5 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.871 | $974.41 | +$51.41 |
| buy |
| 1.32K |
| $0.755 |
| $1K |
| 1h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.815 | $1K | 1h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.210 | $52.5 | 1h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.431 | $430.79 | 1d ago |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.910 | $20.02 | 3d ago |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | 3d ago |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?No | buy | 114.06 | $0.877 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?No | buy | 231.06 | $0.781 | $180.56 | 4d ago |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?No | buy | 61.61 | $0.880 | $54.22 | 4d ago |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?No | buy | 66 | $0.827 | $54.58 | 4d ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | 7d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.920 | $2.76K | 7d ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | 7d ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | 7d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.488 | $1K | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4K | $0.767 | $3.07K | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.870 | $1.12K | 7d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | 8d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | 8d ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 124.94 | $0.800 | $100 | 8d ago |
 Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.24 | $0.868 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 60.68 | $0.992 | $60.18 | 22d ago |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.080 | $48 | 22d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.852 | $1K | 22d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.817 | $4.09K | 22d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.920 | $4.6K | 22d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 11.75 | $0.537 | $6.31 | 26d ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 26d ago |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $939.9 | 26d ago |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.92K | $0.760 | $1.46K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 640 | $0.770 | $492.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 933.5 | $0.957 | $893.68 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.950 | $1.04K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 97.35 | $0.430 | $41.86 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $890 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 569.63 | $0.669 | $381.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 294.64 | $0.580 | $170.89 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 208 | $0.640 | $133.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.380 | $95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 337.09 | $0.600 | $202.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?No | sell | 34.89 | $0.997 | $34.79 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 181 | $0.977 | $176.86 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 889.97 | $0.910 | $809.87 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes | sell | 60.68 | $0.880 | $53.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |