Analytics
Outsmarter has made $75.17K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.920 | $9.56K | +$365 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 7 | 7 | 0.0% | $770.54 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market details pending | sell | 7.69K | $0.001 | $7.69 | 41m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 22:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 20:54 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 22:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $79.36K and losing ones cost $3.18K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $48.23K on “Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $863.17 on “Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?” (No).
It has traded 205 markets. Its open positions are worth $100.06K across 50 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 7.82K |
| $0.906 |
| $7.5K |
| +$408.96 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.8K | $0.909 | $6.74K | +$551.41 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 6.3K | $0.819 | $5.95K | +$795.09 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.54K | $0.889 | $5.37K | +$440.48 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.780 | $4.89K | +$990.01 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5K | $0.830 | $4.73K | +$575 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.9K | $0.623 | $4.58K | +$895.15 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.56K | $0.558 | $3.89K | +$791.54 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 4.02K | $0.902 | $3.76K | +$131.76 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 4.81K | $0.832 | $3.63K | -$371.1 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 3.5K | $0.892 | $3.3K | +$184.84 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.767 | $3.26K | +$191.04 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.58K | $0.630 | $2.88K | +$626.79 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3K | $0.806 | $2.76K | +$341.45 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3.17K | $0.936 | $2.71K | -$255.85 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 2.97K | $0.798 | $2.66K | +$287.09 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.870 | $1.96K | +$215 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3.05K | $0.504 | $1.56K | +$19.95 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 1.58K | $0.897 | $1.52K | +$106.3 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.855 | $1.49K | +$212.09 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2K | $0.650 | $1.33K | +$30 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.35K | $0.795 | $1.23K | +$154.21 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 1.79K | $0.643 | $1.08K | -$68.23 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.871 | $985 | +$62 |
| buy |
| 337.91 |
| $0.888 |
| $300 |
| 42m ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 684.93 | $0.730 | $500 | 44m ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
