Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 46 points from 50% when the market opened on 14 Nov 2025.
Across the 323 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 24 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.8%; a month before, 1.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 54.5% on 17 Nov 2025.
$242.32K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.88K, with a 3.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.06K bought Yes and $6.48K bought No; the largest was a $1K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is felbax with 2.9K shares; the largest No position is Outsmarter with 7.8K. Ten wallets hold 52.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 323 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Outsmarter | No | 7.82K |
| EPunx | No | 3.52K |
| felbax | Yes | 2.86K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-held-in-2025
| Swift Pulse A7B4 |
| Yes |
| 2.56K |
| TANGO853 | Yes | 1.5K |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 1.22K |
| BigBoiBettin | Yes | 1.16K |
| zve3da | No | 1.1K |
| cqs | No | 1.1K |
| darkus | No | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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