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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 183.11K | $0.616 | $169.38K | +$56.65K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.021 | $21 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 87.05K |
| $0.603 |
| $79.21K |
| +$26.7K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 62.15K | $0.770 | $58.42K | +$10.57K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 23.54K | $0.733 | $20.6K | +$3.34K |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 16.08K | $0.770 | $13.91K | +$1.53K |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.94K | $0.700 | $8.99K | +$2.03K |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100K | $0.170 | $7.3K | -$9.7K |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.687 | $1.05K | +$294.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5K | $0.121 | $1.01K | +$402.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.420 | $505 | +$85 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 309.66 | $0.340 | $131.61 | +$26.32 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.290 | $95 | -$195 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 104.21 | $0.350 | $93.27 | +$56.79 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.090 | $85.5 | +$4.5 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 715.56 | $0.647 | $78.71 | -$384.3 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.13 | $0.830 | $0.12 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 10K |
| $0.002 |
| $20 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.4K | $0.865 | $6.4K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.68K | $0.976 | $22.14K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 112 | $0.974 | $109.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 169.54 | $0.300 | $50.86 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 185.01 | $0.003 | $0.56 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 2.57K | $0.002 | $5.14 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 3.9K | $0.984 | $3.83K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 30K | $0.850 | $25.5K | May 11, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 580.66 | $0.929 | $539.43 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 30K | $0.851 | $25.52K | May 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 42.2K | $0.932 | $39.34K | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.997 | $9.97K | May 11, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 27.65K | $0.930 | $25.72K | May 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 52.95K | $0.936 | $49.56K | May 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 7.93K | $0.935 | $7.41K | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.560 | $649.4 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 13.64K | $0.380 | $5.18K | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 6.43K | $0.331 | $2.13K | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.89K | $0.710 | $3.47K | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.77K | $0.830 | $3.13K | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.870 | $8.7K | May 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.68K | $0.938 | $7.21K | May 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | May 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 28K | $0.919 | $25.74K | May 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 28K | $0.997 | $27.92K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.003 | $12 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.82K | $0.926 | $8.17K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.44K | $0.965 | $7.17K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 536.23 | $0.202 | $108.37 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.69K | $0.960 | $2.58K | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 517.66 | $0.001 | $0.52 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 9.66K | $0.996 | $9.62K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.988 | $4.94K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.45K | $0.987 | $7.36K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.988 | $1.99K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 903.51 | $0.560 | $505.97 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 6.63K | $0.310 | $2.06K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 4.87K | $0.700 | $3.41K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 291 | $0.120 | $34.99 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 2.83K | $0.321 | $907.42 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 4.44K | $0.995 | $4.42K | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 8.56K | $0.320 | $2.74K | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 24.28K | $0.090 | $2.19K | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.963 | $9.63K | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 15.71K | $0.090 | $1.41K | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 9.45K | $0.806 | $7.62K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.809 | $2.43K | Apr 8, 2026 |