Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:40 AM UTC.
Analytics
Outsmarter has made $75.08K on Polymarket, #2,525 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:40 AM UTC.
$1.25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 24.0% were buys. They run from Oct 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.920 | $9.57K | +$375 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 7.69K | $0.001 | $7.69 | 6h ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 22:37 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 02:40 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 22:38 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $79.36K and losing ones cost $3.18K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $48.23K on “Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $863.17 on “Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?” (No).
It first traded on 25 Dec 2025 and most recently on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 206 markets. Its open positions are worth $100.36K across 50 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 7.82K |
| $0.906 |
| $7.5K |
| +$412.87 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.8K | $0.909 | $6.74K | +$551.41 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 6.3K | $0.819 | $5.92K | +$763.59 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.54K | $0.889 | $5.37K | +$446.02 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.780 | $4.9K | +$995.01 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.9K | $0.623 | $4.75K | +$1.07K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5K | $0.830 | $4.73K | +$575 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.56K | $0.558 | $3.92K | +$819.34 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 4.02K | $0.902 | $3.76K | +$131.76 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 4.81K | $0.832 | $3.63K | -$371.1 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 3.5K | $0.892 | $3.27K | +$149.88 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.767 | $3.26K | +$191.04 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.58K | $0.630 | $2.95K | +$698.43 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3K | $0.806 | $2.75K | +$326.44 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3.17K | $0.936 | $2.74K | -$224.12 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 2.97K | $0.798 | $2.66K | +$287.09 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.870 | $1.95K | +$213 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3.05K | $0.504 | $1.58K | +$41.3 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 1.58K | $0.897 | $1.52K | +$106.3 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.855 | $1.49K | +$211.34 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2K | $0.650 | $1.33K | +$30 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.35K | $0.795 | $1.23K | +$156.24 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 1.79K | $0.643 | $1.12K | -$32.47 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.05K | $0.212 | $998.1 | -$283.94 |
| buy |
| 337.91 |
| $0.888 |
| $300 |
| 6h ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 684.93 | $0.730 | $500 | 6h ago |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.26 | $0.035 | $0.29 | 18h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 20h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 20h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 20h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 20h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 21h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 22h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.58 | $0.035 | $0.13 | 22h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 22h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 22h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 22h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 22h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 23h ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 32.9K | $0.035 | $1.15K | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.035 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 6.88 | $0.035 | $0.24 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 7.22 | $0.035 | $0.25 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.4 | $0.035 | $0.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.035 | $0.19 | 1d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.001 | $1.25 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.001 | $1.25 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.001 | $1.25 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.001 | $1.25 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.002 | $1.98 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.002 | $2.43 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.005 | $6.7 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.003 | $4.12 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.003 | $4.19 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5.19 | 3d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5.05 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | 3d ago |
 Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 134.43 | $0.744 | $100 | 3d ago |
 Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 150.75 | $0.663 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 774.72 | $0.645 | $500 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 855.4 | $0.585 | $500 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 175.38 | $0.570 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 915.39 | $0.546 | $500 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.310 | $500 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.132 | $300 | 4d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes | sell | 799.41 | $0.017 | $13.59 | 4d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes | sell | 450.5 | $0.017 | $7.66 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 179.28 | $0.400 | $71.71 | 4d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.