Analytics
Yes is at 6.7%, down 22 points from 28.5% when the market opened on 15 May 2026.
The high was 28.5% on 15 May 2026 and the low 3.8% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 5.1%; a month ago, 9.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 13% on 16 May 2026.
$654.91 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $98.11K since listing. The order book holds $18.08K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.36K bought Yes and $17.33K bought No; the largest was a $2.17K buy of No at 87.2¢.
The largest Yes position is Porx with 2.4K shares; the largest No position is KrackenSruster with 3.7K. Ten wallets hold 59.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 7:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 15 May 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | 28.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 6.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster | No | 3.66K |
| Porx | Yes | 2.4K |
| End123 | No | 2.29K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-called-in-2025
| Newshound |
| Yes |
| 2.28K |
| kastetem | Yes | 1.95K |
| Outsmarter | No | 1.35K |
| lgtnb15 | Yes | 1.3K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 1.17K |
| DKcoin | Yes | 999.99 |
| Sheehave | Yes | 999.97 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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