Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 32.47K | $0.596 | $6.66K | -$12.68K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | buy | 70.59 | $0.942 | $66.47 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.07K |
| $0.380 |
| $2.13K |
| -$170.84 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.71K | $0.883 | $2.02K | -$374.34 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.2K | $0.423 | $1.92K | +$140.71 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.85K | $0.649 | $1.65K | -$1.5K |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 1.48K | $0.909 | $1.26K | -$88.31 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.06K | $0.304 | $1.09K | +$161.74 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 813.53 | $0.740 | $719.97 | +$117.62 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 575 | $0.860 | $558.03 | +$63.54 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 1.17K | $0.550 | $531.22 | -$110.91 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 3.41K | $0.488 | $425.87 | -$1.24K |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.662 | $357.49 | +$26.5 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.2K | $0.220 | $296.75 | -$186.84 |
 Government shutdown by October 1? | No | 280.4 | $0.801 | $278.44 | +$53.93 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.700 | $256.5 | +$46.5 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | Yes | 1.72K | $0.245 | $249.16 | -$172.55 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.28K | $0.195 | $216.48 | -$227.1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.845 | $193.7 | +$24.7 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.650 | $190.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 1.41K | $0.548 | $183.24 | -$588.91 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 202.52 | $0.600 | $176.19 | +$54.68 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 851.54 | $0.398 | $174.57 | -$163.95 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 200 | $0.760 | $167.3 | +$15.3 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.51K | $0.290 | $162.94 | -$564.83 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 1.34K | $0.180 | $161.21 | -$80.6 |
| buy |
| 955.94 |
| $0.350 |
| $334.58 |
| 1d ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.396 | $158.4 | 1d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 530 | $0.929 | $492.6 | 1d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 954.72 | $0.914 | $872.67 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.6K | $0.423 | $2.37K | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.580 | $695.69 | 1d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 822.44 | $0.045 | $36.69 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.190 | $194.52 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 305.55 | $0.169 | $51.74 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.550 | $642.14 | 2d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12.8K | $0.490 | $6.27K | 5d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | sell | 799.99 | $0.306 | $245.17 | 5d ago |
 Will gas hit $4.20 (High) by September 30?Yes | buy | 241.2 | $0.792 | $191.14 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.72K | $0.440 | $7.8K | 7d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 277.83 | $0.254 | $70.56 | 7d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 316 | $0.239 | $75.46 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.76K | $0.640 | $4.33K | 12d ago |
 Will Warsh’s remarks not air?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | 12d ago |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes | sell | 72.57 | $0.080 | $5.81 | 12d ago |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.260 | $31.2 | 13d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.890 | $2.14K | 14d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 285.1 | $0.120 | $34.27 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.88K | $0.279 | $1.08K | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 639.78 | $0.660 | $422.25 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 870.81 | $0.260 | $226.41 | 14d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 165.1 | $0.140 | $23.11 | 14d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.030 | $53.23 | 22d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 563.33 | $0.150 | $84.3 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 1.37K | $0.157 | $215.44 | 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 730.47 | $0.362 | $264.42 | 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.389 | $986.14 | 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 4.66K | $0.800 | $3.73K | 23d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 325.15 | $0.159 | $51.72 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.6K | $0.680 | $2.45K | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.21K | $0.670 | $4.83K | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.41K | $0.300 | $2.82K | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.320 | $396.95 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.650 | $3.25K | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.14K | $0.640 | $3.29K | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.14K | $0.630 | $3.24K | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 6.68K | $0.721 | $4.82K | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.700 | $925.1 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 5.07K | $0.319 | $1.62K | 28d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.66K | $0.311 | $827.99 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 190.8 | $0.420 | $80.09 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 40.95 | $0.350 | $14.33 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 467 | $0.366 | $170.7 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 4.84K | $0.314 | $1.52K | 28d ago |
 Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?No | buy | 350 | $0.596 | $208.45 | 28d ago |