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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 37.65K | $0.766 | $34.64K | +$5.8K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 550.35 | $0.980 | $539.57 | 10h ago |
 |
| No |
| 37.1K |
| $0.738 |
| $33.76K |
| +$6.39K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 55.15K | $0.545 | $31.71K | +$1.66K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 35K | $0.746 | $30.63K | +$4.51K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 24.26K | $0.794 | $22.68K | +$3.41K |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 22.92K | $0.636 | $20.51K | +$5.94K |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 15.24K | $0.857 | $14.02K | +$964.94 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | No | 13.88K | $0.902 | $13.08K | +$559.47 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | No | 19.43K | $0.473 | $11.76K | +$2.57K |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.13K | $0.896 | $10.77K | +$792.23 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 9.25K | $0.554 | $8.79K | +$3.66K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 8.59K | $0.764 | $7.35K | +$784.05 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.89K | $0.679 | $5.83K | -$214.74 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.85K | $0.591 | $5.71K | +$481.94 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.8K | $0.550 | $4.43K | +$1.25K |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.56K | $0.502 | $4.41K | +$107.4 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 4.18K | $0.640 | $3.78K | +$1.11K |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.45K | $0.753 | $3.69K | +$334.49 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.66K | $0.874 | $3.31K | +$114.73 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.83K | $0.655 | $2.31K | +$452.53 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.56K | $0.397 | $2.1K | -$1.3K |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.24K | $0.668 | $1.73K | +$228.23 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 4.68K | $0.617 | $1.71K | -$1.18K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.34K | $0.399 | $1.42K | +$84.18 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.76K | $0.686 | $1.31K | +$104.15 |
| buy |
| 8.45K |
| $0.503 |
| $4.25K |
| 10h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.67K | $0.600 | $2.8K | 10h ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.69 | $0.614 | $52 | 13h ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.607 | $1.12K | 13h ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 68.02 | $0.353 | $24 | 13h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.56K | $0.284 | $2.43K | 16h ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 921.33 | $0.176 | $162 | 18h ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 512.46 | $0.585 | $300 | 18h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 1.89K | $0.287 | $543.22 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.340 | $679.77 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.600 | $240 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.91K | $0.550 | $6K | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 210 | $0.580 | $121.9 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 768.89 | $0.650 | $500 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.800 | $1.88K | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 694.34 | $0.700 | $486 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.440 | $800 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 778.48 | $0.921 | $717 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.379 | $5.68 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 671.73 | $0.977 | $656 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 221.09 | $0.927 | $205 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.940 | $46.99 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 550.35 | $0.959 | $528 | 12d ago |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.49K | $0.872 | $2.17K | 12d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 99.42 | $0.190 | $18.89 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.492 | $500 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?No | sell | 137.29 | $0.169 | $23.27 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.504 | $944 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.62K | $0.768 | $2.78K | 14d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.900 | $1.9K | 15d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 910.29 | $0.680 | $619 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 2.8K | $0.914 | $2.56K | 17d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.376 | $607 | 18d ago |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.920 | $1.65K | 18d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 348.22 | $0.920 | $320.36 | 21d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.67 | $0.881 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 43.16 | $0.950 | $41 | 22d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 119.02 | $0.840 | $100 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 11K | $0.611 | $6.72K | 22d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 232.34 | $0.664 | $154.36 | 26d ago |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.480 | $521 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.56K | $0.320 | $820 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.39K | $0.668 | $2.93K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 24.15 | $0.280 | $6.76 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 493.9 | $0.300 | $148.17 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 2.41K | $0.353 | $850.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.571 | $1.03K | Jul 31, 2026 |