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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 20K | $0.562 | $17.9K | +$6.65K |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 500.01 | $0.950 | $475.01 | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 13.47K |
| $0.572 |
| $12.55K |
| +$4.85K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 14K | $0.026 | $4.13K | +$3.76K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | No | 3K | $0.487 | $2.76K | +$1.3K |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 2.81K | $0.425 | $2.22K | +$1.03K |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.5K | $0.600 | $2K | +$496.25 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | No | 1.61K | $0.742 | $1.25K | +$61.99 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2K | $0.194 | $913 | +$524.67 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.500 | $908.5 | +$408.5 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.9K | $0.173 | $855.04 | +$354.44 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.529 | $813.56 | -$112.36 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.044 | $810 | +$743.58 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.34K | $0.462 | $569.71 | -$48.07 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.425 | $524.99 | +$100 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3.47K | $0.029 | $485.18 | +$383.04 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.087 | $474.24 | +$168.03 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | 490.14 | $0.785 | $420.78 | +$36.02 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 690.18 | $0.330 | $376.15 | +$148.39 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 5.5K | $0.109 | $357.5 | -$244.33 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 690.01 | $0.666 | $320.86 | -$138.43 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 3.73K | $0.036 | $298.33 | +$163.96 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.65K | $0.065 | $293.8 | -$75.65 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.25K | $0.021 | $275.96 | +$208.9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.088 | $181.25 | +$70.53 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 14.99K | $0.004 | $179.94 | +$115.7 |
| sell |
| 1.53K |
| $0.977 |
| $1.5K |
| 16d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.081 | $17.72 | 17d ago |
 Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC | sell | 106.49 | $0.220 | $23.43 | 17d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | sell | 392.13 | $0.526 | $206.28 | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | sell | 1.21K | $0.256 | $310.82 | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.390 | $487.37 | 19d ago |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | 21d ago |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.041 | $27.12 | 21d ago |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | sell | 108.16 | $0.110 | $11.9 | 21d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 53.55 | $0.430 | $23.03 | 21d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 44.5 | $0.010 | $0.45 | 21d ago |
 Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 84.28 | $0.160 | $13.48 | 23d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 384.89 | $0.010 | $4.03 | 26d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 2.4K | $0.020 | $48.05 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 85.53 | $0.080 | $6.84 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.91 | $0.121 | $1.68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 122.1 | $0.135 | $16.48 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No | sell | 943.52 | $0.072 | $68.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 143 | $0.553 | $79.05 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.77K | $0.009 | $62.3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.100 | $102.57 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.62 | $0.280 | $3.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.84 | $0.870 | $5.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 29.27 | $0.005 | $0.15 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 2.64K | $0.007 | $19.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 560 | $0.016 | $9.08 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 2.06K | $0.022 | $45.31 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.600 | $300 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.560 | $279.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 121.6 | $0.500 | $60.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 11.3 | $0.046 | $0.52 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 25.1 | $0.285 | $7.15 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 2.69K | $0.267 | $717.31 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.350 | $175 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.851 | $71.51 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | sell | 760.78 | $0.020 | $15.27 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?No | sell | 238 | $0.490 | $116.62 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.480 | $60 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes | sell | 219.82 | $0.420 | $92.32 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 344 | $0.016 | $5.34 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.170 | $127.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 11.68K | $0.018 | $210.24 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 133 | $0.024 | $3.19 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.490 | $26.46 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.065 | $75.76 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 130.89 | $0.043 | $5.63 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.044 | $48.21 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 30.45 | $0.831 | $25.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |