Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 8.2 points from 12% when the market opened on 25 Apr 2026.
Across the 184 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.8% on 12 May 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.3%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 15.8% on 12 May 2026.
$2.61K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $358.74K since listing. The order book holds $68.48K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $9.19K bought Yes and $32.7K bought No; the largest was a $15.51K sell of No at 86.9¢.
The largest Yes position is YOU-CAN-RUN-BUT-YOU-CANT-HIDE with 31K shares; the largest No position is stupid22 with 12.2K. Ten wallets hold 64.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 184 points, 25 Apr 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 12.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YOU-CAN-RUN-BUT-YOU-CANT-HIDE | Yes | 31.03K |
| Steve1818 | Yes | 19.34K |
| Remote-Roast-Crane | Yes | 16.97K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026
| stupid22 | No | 12.25K |
| pardens | No | 8.95K |
| TeemuPukki | No | 8.15K |
| Nadmi | Yes | 7.7K |
| thoodr | No | 6.51K |
| 🤺Yoon18nom | No | 6.4K |
| Cobalt Sphinx AB2C | No | 6.23K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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