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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 194.77K | $0.919 | $182.11K | +$3.08K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 9?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 107.66K |
| $0.968 |
| $106.1K |
| +$1.83K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 60.35K | $0.930 | $56.43K | +$294.77 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 41.15K | $0.839 | $35.6K | +$1.08K |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 31.84K | $0.936 | $29.45K | -$350.8 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 25.58K | $0.964 | $24.95K | +$294.07 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 23.39K | $0.974 | $22.96K | +$166.49 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 19K | $0.975 | $18.78K | +$258.52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 9? | No | 15K | $0.999 | $14.99K | +$7.5 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 14.81K | $0.932 | $14.52K | +$713.08 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 15K | $0.935 | $14.18K | +$148.97 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 12.96K | $0.913 | $12.31K | +$474.08 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 10.84K | $0.960 | $10.5K | +$92.17 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 11.38K | $0.900 | $10.34K | +$92.44 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 9.84K | $0.946 | $9.74K | +$439.39 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10K | $0.937 | $9.65K | +$275 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 10.43K | $0.880 | $9.23K | +$52.17 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17K | $0.631 | $8.93K | -$1.8K |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | No | 9K | $0.983 | $8.86K | +$21.01 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 9K | $0.967 | $8.74K | +$43.51 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 8.66K | $0.955 | $8.51K | +$243.3 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 8.31K | $0.937 | $7.85K | +$69.76 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17K | $0.293 | $7.76K | +$2.78K |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | No | 7.75K | $0.991 | $7.69K | +$5.66 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20K | $0.313 | $7.13K | +$861.95 |
| buy |
| 23.23K |
| $0.930 |
| $21.61K |
| 4h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.41K | $0.968 | $3.3K | 23h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?No | buy | 256.1 | $0.991 | $253.8 | 1d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 751 | $0.987 | $741.24 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 677.7 | $0.995 | $674.31 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 921.19 | $0.999 | $920.27 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 9.91K | $0.170 | $1.69K | 1d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 6?Yes | buy | 107.47 | $0.998 | $107.26 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on September 7?No | buy | 16.05 | $0.999 | $16.03 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?No | buy | 105.05 | $0.999 | $104.94 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?No | buy | 65 | $0.999 | $64.92 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 7?No | buy | 145.95 | $0.999 | $145.8 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 7?No | buy | 258.27 | $0.999 | $258.01 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 6?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.999 | $0.39 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 210.09 | $0.972 | $204.21 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 63 | $0.973 | $61.3 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 289.17 | $0.974 | $281.65 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 7.95K | $0.850 | $6.76K | 4d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 4?No | buy | 309.58 | $0.999 | $309.27 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 4?No | buy | 125 | $0.999 | $124.88 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4?No | buy | 474.61 | $0.999 | $474.14 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 321.7 | $0.994 | $319.77 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 15K | $0.999 | $14.99K | 5d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | 5d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 10.64K | $0.960 | $10.21K | 5d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?No | buy | 292.94 | $0.999 | $292.65 | 6d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on September 3?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 6d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3?No | buy | 68.3 | $0.999 | $68.23 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?No | buy | 215.49 | $0.999 | $215.27 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 327.97 | $0.999 | $327.64 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?No | buy | 7.56 | $0.999 | $7.55 | 7d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?No | buy | 126.4 | $0.999 | $126.27 | 7d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 2?No | buy | 158.3 | $0.998 | $158.01 | 7d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 2?No | buy | 15.44 | $0.997 | $15.4 | 7d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 2?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.999 | $15.43 | 7d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 5.88K | $0.930 | $5.46K | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 5.1K | $0.975 | $4.98K | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 5.17K | $0.950 | $4.91K | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 548.86 | $0.940 | $515.93 | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 906.93 | $0.999 | $906.02 | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | 8d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 556.49 | $0.950 | $528.67 | 8d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 9d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | 9d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?Yes | buy | 87.12 | $0.999 | $87.03 | 9d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 31?No | buy | 74 | $0.999 | $73.93 | 9d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 31?No | buy | 54.07 | $0.999 | $54.02 | 9d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on August 31?No | buy | 54.07 | $0.999 | $54.02 | 9d ago |