Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 7.7%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 43% on 7 Oct 2026. $190.66K traded over the market's life.
115 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 6:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 34.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 7.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| stupid22 | No | 13.52K |
| Decimal-Gambling | Yes | 2.22K |
| Drunken-Mentat | No | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31
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