Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.45K | $0.914 | $1.36K | +$30.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 92K |
| $0.014 |
| $1.24K |
| -$18.46 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 970 | $0.869 | $839.05 | -$3.46 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 801.3 | $0.919 | $762.03 | +$25.81 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 700 | $0.981 | $691.6 | +$4.87 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 550 | $0.983 | $544.78 | +$3.99 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 500.01 | $0.837 | $403.26 | -$15.23 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.43K | $0.213 | $348.7 | -$169.3 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 479.98 | $0.727 | $338.39 | -$10.4 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.503 | $267 | +$116.13 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.024 | $265 | +$26.41 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.989 | $198.7 | +$0.9 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.973 | $196.5 | +$1.9 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.85K | $0.014 | $174.76 | +$75.95 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 220 | $0.544 | $113.3 | -$6.5 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.65K | $0.044 | $105.04 | +$32.54 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 100 | $0.994 | $99.75 | +$0.35 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.16K | $0.014 | $99.61 | +$54.86 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $93.5 | +$0.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 450 | $0.613 | $69.75 | -$205.94 |
 Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 98 | $0.358 | $58.31 | +$23.2 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $45.75 | +$1.75 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 50 | $0.850 | $43.25 | +$0.75 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 210 | $0.056 | $33.92 | +$22.25 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 559.99 | $0.035 | $31.64 | +$11.99 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.570 |
| $11.4 |
| 2d ago |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.97K | $0.011 | $43.69 | 5d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | 6d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.991 | $495.5 | 7d ago |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.9K | $0.025 | $97.5 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.973 | $194.6 | 11d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 23.77 | $0.975 | $23.18 | 11d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.982 | $491 | 14d ago |
| Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 38 | $0.380 | $14.44 | 24d ago |
| Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | 24d ago |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 437.81 | $0.036 | $15.76 | 28d ago |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?No | sell | 160 | $0.001 | $0.16 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?No | sell | 163 | $0.001 | $0.16 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.024 | $24 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 56.67 | $0.970 | $54.97 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.956 | $478 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.913 | $4.57 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.912 | $2.74K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.912 | $456 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 738.48 | $0.018 | $13.29 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.021 | $4.22 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.630 | $44.1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.701 | $70.07 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 35 | $0.865 | $30.28 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.956 | $47.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.850 | $51 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Jimmy Lai released by June 30?No | buy | 35.82 | $0.988 | $35.39 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 50 | $0.907 | $45.35 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | May 24, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No | sell | 250 | $0.921 | $230.29 | May 7, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No | sell | 375.31 | $0.821 | $308.16 | May 7, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No | buy | 100 | $0.931 | $93.1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No | buy | 100 | $0.931 | $93.09 | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | May 4, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | May 1, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | May 1, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.850 | $21.25 | May 1, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?No | sell | 285.45 | $0.680 | $194.11 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Apr 26, 2026 |