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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 1.9K | $0.607 | $1.56K | +$405 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 73 | $0.480 | $35.04 | 20d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.6K |
| $0.655 |
| $1.08K |
| +$32.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.510 | $934.19 | -$90.86 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.05K | $0.816 | $897.75 | +$41.25 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.1K | $0.773 | $874.5 | +$24.5 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 760.94 | $0.644 | $669.63 | +$179.58 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 730.01 | $0.410 | $627.81 | +$328.08 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 801.02 | $0.730 | $616.78 | +$31.92 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 600 | $0.714 | $561.6 | +$133.5 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 540 | $0.551 | $477.9 | +$180.33 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 510 | $0.730 | $466.65 | +$94.5 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 501.5 | $0.710 | $448.84 | +$92.98 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 500.01 | $0.794 | $426.01 | +$29 |
 New pandemic before 2028? | No | 500 | $0.770 | $422.5 | +$37.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 400 | $0.890 | $399.8 | +$43.8 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.790 | $382.5 | -$12.5 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 500.01 | $0.445 | $380 | +$157.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.195 | $380 | -$399.99 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 573 | $0.489 | $323.75 | +$43.71 |
 António Guterres out by December 31? | No | 387.85 | $0.720 | $259.86 | -$19.39 |
 Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | No | 210 | $0.837 | $189 | +$13.3 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.250 | $110 | -$15 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 305.96 | $0.817 | $53.08 | -$196.92 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.777 | $16.6 | -$294.4 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.751 | $9.68 | +$2.17 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.850 |
| $425 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.870 | $60.9 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.710 | $355 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.840 | $210 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Yes | buy | 77.53 | $0.484 | $37.51 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.510 | $204 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.275 | $137.56 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.989 | $42.53 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 470 | $0.968 | $454.96 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 144.27 | $0.624 | $90 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?No | buy | 303.41 | $0.560 | $170 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.010 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.470 | $141 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 239.99 | $0.945 | $226.79 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.959 | $191.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.640 | $160 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 155 | $0.630 | $97.65 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.448 | $134.29 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 199.94 | $0.840 | $167.95 | May 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 633.24 | $0.190 | $120 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.420 | $2.08 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.570 | $342 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | May 21, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.360 | $108 | May 18, 2026 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?No | buy | 625.44 | $0.400 | $250 | May 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 500 | $0.660 | $330 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.643 | $282.92 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.633 | $63.3 | May 11, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 330 | $0.440 | $145.2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 800 | $0.780 | $624 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No | buy | 82 | $0.840 | $68.88 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.920 | $63.88 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.286 | $28.61 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | May 3, 2026 |
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | buy | 180 | $0.820 | $147.6 | May 3, 2026 |
| Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.820 | $246 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.870 | $435 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.680 | $408 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.002 | $0.4 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.820 | $410 | May 1, 2026 |