Analytics
Drunken-Mentat has made $5.27K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4K | $0.529 | $3.78K | +$1.66K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 14:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 18:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 18:00 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 14:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.51K and losing ones cost $16.56K across the latest 50 settled positions. 30% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $782.78 on “Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.07K on “Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 718 markets. Its open positions are worth $16.87K across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 950 |
| $0.607 |
| $883.5 |
| +$307 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.11K | $0.816 | $878.92 | -$23.14 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.1K | $0.773 | $852.5 | +$2.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.176 | $725 | -$154.99 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 700 | $0.860 | $690.2 | +$88.2 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.560 | $675 | +$115 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 760.94 | $0.644 | $669.63 | +$179.58 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 600.01 | $0.930 | $579.61 | +$21.6 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 3.36K | $0.178 | $572.02 | -$27.2 |
 EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? | No | 675.91 | $0.823 | $564.39 | +$7.79 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 600 | $0.714 | $552 | +$123.9 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 800 | $0.522 | $480 | +$62 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 600 | $0.740 | $477 | +$33 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 501.5 | $0.710 | $448.84 | +$92.98 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | No | 1K | $0.430 | $435 | +$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.860 | $432.5 | +$2.5 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.790 | $400 | +$5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 400 | $0.840 | $334 | -$2 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 365.02 | $0.410 | $333.99 | +$184.12 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.349 | $332.24 | +$157.75 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.760 | $316 | +$12 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 352.02 | $0.551 | $311.54 | +$117.55 |
 António Guterres out by December 31? | No | 387.85 | $0.720 | $294.76 | +$15.51 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 205.92 | $0.770 | $157.53 | -$1.03 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
