Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 51 points from 59% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 326 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 6% on 11 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.4%; a month before, 7.6%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 98% on 7 Nov 2025.
$1.08 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $341.2K since listing. The order book holds $36.88K, with a 2.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.65K bought Yes and $19.51K bought No; the largest was a $4.13K buy of No at 78.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Broken-Cashew with 9.8K shares; the largest No position is pakukudolphi with 19.9K. Ten wallets hold 64.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 326 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 59.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pakukudolphi | No | 19.86K |
| Broken-Cashew | Yes | 9.82K |
| LJa7io23MCv954j | No | 3.48K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027
| marinerhaz |
| Yes |
| 3.28K |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 2.71K |
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 2.32K |
| wigglew | Yes | 1.93K |
| Blaring-Backdrop | Yes | 1.75K |
| HOD-Capital | Yes | 1.5K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 1.29K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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