Analytics
Drunken-Mentat has made $5.27K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4K | $0.529 | $3.78K | +$1.66K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 14:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 20:31 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 14:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.51K and losing ones cost $16.56K across the latest 50 settled positions. 30% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $782.78 on “Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.07K on “Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 718 markets. Its open positions are worth $16.82K across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.11K |
| $0.816 |
| $901.03 |
| -$1.02 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 950 | $0.607 | $878.75 | +$302.25 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.1K | $0.773 | $858 | +$8 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.176 | $725 | -$154.99 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 700 | $0.860 | $695.8 | +$93.8 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.560 | $670 | +$110 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 760.94 | $0.644 | $669.63 | +$179.58 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 600.01 | $0.930 | $579.91 | +$21.9 |
 EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? | No | 675.91 | $0.823 | $561.01 | +$4.41 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 600 | $0.714 | $552.6 | +$124.5 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 3.36K | $0.178 | $504.72 | -$94.49 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 800 | $0.522 | $484 | +$66 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 600 | $0.740 | $468 | +$24 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 501.5 | $0.710 | $448.84 | +$92.98 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.860 | $432.5 | +$2.5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | No | 1K | $0.430 | $415 | -$15 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.790 | $392.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 400 | $0.840 | $334 | -$2 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 365.02 | $0.410 | $333.99 | +$184.12 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.349 | $327.24 | +$152.75 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 352.02 | $0.551 | $311.54 | +$117.55 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.760 | $304 | $0 |
 António Guterres out by December 31? | No | 387.85 | $0.720 | $290.88 | +$11.64 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 885.32 | $0.388 | $199.2 | -$144.05 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
