Analytics
Yes is at 24.5%, down 20 points from 44% when the market opened on 22 Apr 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 16% on 24 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24%; a month before, 27.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 44% on 27 Aug 2026.
$2.42K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.03K, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 66 trades, $265.03 bought Yes and $560.83 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Several-Kimono with 543 shares; the largest No position is Drunken-Mentat with 388. Ten wallets hold 93.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 44.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Several-Kimono | Yes | 543.5 |
| Drunken-Mentat | No | 387.85 |
| buoys | No | 286.35 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/antnio-guterres-out-by-december-31
| wgva |
| Yes |
| 100.51 |
| EMA263 | Yes | 62.5 |
| Anyawinsitall | No | 62.5 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 46.4 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 41.54 |
| ManosDas | Yes | 35.71 |
| Porx | No | 24.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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