Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.5K | $0.904 | $3.24K | +$72.51 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | 7m ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.05K |
| $0.961 |
| $2.93K |
| +$1.13 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 2.2K | $0.918 | $2.08K | +$56.74 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | 1.87K | $0.964 | $1.82K | +$17.29 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 1.62K | $0.979 | $1.6K | +$13.52 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.511 | $1.15K | +$127.79 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 2K | $0.597 | $1.09K | -$104.77 |
 UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | No | 1.09K | $0.957 | $1.04K | -$0.55 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 900 | $0.983 | $891.45 | +$6.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.843 | $855.01 | +$12 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.16K | $0.455 | $678.61 | +$150.72 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | No | 661.11 | $0.869 | $568.55 | -$6.08 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | No | 646.76 | $0.764 | $552.98 | +$58.87 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 607 | $0.913 | $549.34 | -$5.03 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 521.83 | $0.978 | $517.13 | +$6.78 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Yes | 1.89K | $0.340 | $462.09 | -$179.75 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.17K | $0.359 | $439.08 | -$1.42K |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | No | 548.48 | $0.601 | $400.39 | +$70.89 |
 Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.08K | $0.117 | $366.58 | +$4.6 |
 Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 400 | $0.920 | $346 | -$22 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.776 | $342.49 | -$45.5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 576.81 | $0.490 | $314.36 | +$31.72 |
 Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.902 | $281.85 | +$11.25 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.474 | $257.5 | +$20.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.586 | $252.49 | -$40.35 |
| sell |
| 302 |
| $0.560 |
| $169.12 |
| 4h ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Yes | buy | 407.77 | $0.060 | $24.47 | 9h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 20h ago |
 Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 189.26 | $0.207 | $39.15 | 20h ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.210 | $84 | 20h ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.490 | $12.25 | 20h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | 20h ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.961 | $384.4 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 383.37 | $0.670 | $256.86 | 20h ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 53.11 | $0.794 | $42.16 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 185.74 | $0.540 | $100.3 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.54K | $0.622 | $1.58K | 23h ago |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 348.19 | $0.680 | $236.77 | 1d ago |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 266.44 | $0.830 | $221.15 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.330 | $20.13 | 1d ago |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.957 | $1.04K | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 140 | $0.540 | $75.6 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 273 | $0.220 | $60.06 | 1d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | sell | 82.46 | $0.660 | $54.42 | 1d ago |
 Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.939 | $93.93 | 1d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.890 | $267 | 1d ago |
 Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 4.33K | $0.003 | $12.99 | 1d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | sell | 60.1 | $0.330 | $19.83 | 1d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.338 | $507.72 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 652.89 | $0.146 | $95.43 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 890.65 | $0.290 | $258.29 | 4d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.380 | $266 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.830 | $415 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.487 | $812.39 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.490 | $122.5 | 5d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.830 | $29.05 | 7d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.2K | $0.930 | $2.05K | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 209.61 | $0.520 | $109 | 7d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.410 | $10.25 | 8d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.840 | $336 | 8d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60.41 | $0.790 | $47.72 | 8d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 72.06 | $0.397 | $28.61 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50.86 | $0.290 | $14.75 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No | buy | 364.7 | $0.932 | $340.07 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.984 | $147.6 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 699.99 | $0.680 | $475.99 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.03 | $0.280 | $4.21 | 9d ago |