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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.501 | $803.87 | +$273.66 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 300 | $0.230 | $69 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.53K |
| $0.376 |
| $747.31 |
| -$204.64 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.38K | $0.486 | $655.5 | -$15.7 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 1.92K | $0.314 | $499.45 | -$103.6 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.628 | $322 | +$70.65 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 370 | $0.651 | $275.65 | +$34.85 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.209 | $225.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | No | 200 | $0.738 | $181 | +$33.44 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | Yes | 180 | $0.706 | $171.09 | +$44.07 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 170 | $0.630 | $148.75 | +$41.65 |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 252.09 | $0.690 | $147.47 | -$26.47 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 600 | $0.300 | $141 | -$39 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 160 | $0.630 | $137.6 | +$36.8 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 140 | $0.640 | $118.3 | +$28.7 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 1K | $0.260 | $115 | -$145 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 275.58 | $0.575 | $96.45 | -$62.05 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 200 | $0.460 | $96 | +$4 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | Yes | 373.99 | $0.449 | $95.37 | -$72.74 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 107.8 | $0.750 | $92.71 | +$11.86 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.360 | $85 | +$13 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 100 | $0.670 | $80 | +$13 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 300 | $0.230 | $79.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 180.85 | $0.553 | $76.86 | -$23.14 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.690 | $70.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 120 | $0.440 | $55.8 | +$3 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.290 |
| $2.9 |
| 4d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 4d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.280 | $14.01 | 4d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 69.45 | $0.290 | $20.14 | 5d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 268.05 | $0.322 | $86.23 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.550 | $88 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 25.58 | $0.610 | $15.6 | 5d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 790 | $0.986 | $779.03 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.610 | $54.9 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.235 | $117.41 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.260 | $260 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.628 | $251.35 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.300 | $90 | 6d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.736 | $73.56 | 6d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.270 | $29.7 | 6d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | 6d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 269.66 | $0.329 | $88.75 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 348.71 | $0.359 | $125.05 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 190 | $0.720 | $136.8 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.748 | $119.73 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 329.43 | $0.260 | $85.65 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 210.14 | $0.270 | $56.74 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 706.61 | $0.271 | $191.22 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.310 | $186 | 9d ago |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.700 | $105 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 112.2 | $0.850 | $95.37 | 9d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.370 | $185 | 10d ago |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.961 | $67.24 | 10d ago |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 117.6 | $0.430 | $50.57 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.18 | $0.360 | $9.42 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.358 | $35.85 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.344 | $137.53 | 10d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 10d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | 10d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.490 | $14.7 | 10d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | 10d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | 10d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 10d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | 10d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.434 | $21.72 | 10d ago |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.980 | $117.6 | 11d ago |