Analytics
Trading ended on 14 Sep 2026 with Yes at 22.3%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 260 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 4% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18.1%; a month before, 19%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 10.5% on 14 Sep 2026.
Ulf Kristersson ranks second of the 10 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of Sweden”. Magdalena Andersson leads at 73%; Ebba Busch is at 2.7%.
$2.08M has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Faraway-Ellipse with 84.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 367.8K. Ten wallets hold 61.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 11:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 260 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 12.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 22.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 367.81K |
| Faraway-Ellipse | Yes | 84.76K |
| JGripen | Yes | 32.56K |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-sweden
| justtryingtosurvive | Yes | 18.52K |
| ByTrade | Yes | 13.63K |
| anoin123 | No | 13.5K |
| sebastianwallin | Yes | 13.36K |
| robsondif | Yes | 12.7K |
| Naive-Blade | Yes | 9.58K |
| Gaditima | No | 8.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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