Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 168.8K | $0.816 | $144.32K | +$6.52K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 14.9K | $0.996 | $14.84K | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 88.67K |
| $0.816 |
| $82.11K |
| +$9.79K |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 69.74K | $0.756 | $63.81K | +$11.1K |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 48.54K | $0.922 | $47.57K | +$2.83K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 166.79K | $0.292 | $42.53K | -$6.27K |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 62.29K | $0.644 | $40.71K | +$589.43 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 40.99K | $0.828 | $40.39K | +$6.45K |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 54.68K | $0.615 | $37.73K | +$4.12K |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 42K | $0.880 | $36.33K | -$647.69 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 44.34K | $0.759 | $33.7K | +$36.18 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 81.47K | $0.292 | $33.57K | +$9.77K |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 47.39K | $0.671 | $32.94K | +$1.13K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 37.57K | $0.676 | $30.62K | +$5.2K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 42.93K | $0.515 | $28.55K | +$6.44K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 31.65K | $0.723 | $27.06K | +$4.19K |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 57.96K | $0.516 | $26.95K | -$2.96K |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 31.48K | $0.663 | $25.97K | +$5.09K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 26.28K | $0.940 | $25.78K | +$1.08K |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 34.4K | $0.590 | $24.42K | +$4.13K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 58.44K | $0.252 | $23.96K | +$9.25K |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 35.95K | $0.651 | $23.55K | +$149.61 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 91.03K | $0.143 | $20.03K | +$7.04K |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 18.1K | $0.838 | $17.96K | +$2.81K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 39.31K | $0.590 | $17.88K | -$5.3K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 19.9K | $0.773 | $17.81K | +$2.42K |
| buy |
| 13.93K |
| $0.440 |
| $6.13K |
| 9h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.720 | $1.37K | 1d ago |
 Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.043 | $1.09 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 66.62K | $0.860 | $57.3K | 5d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 34.92K | $0.930 | $32.47K | 5d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.240 | $6.72 | 6d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.790 | $4.06 | 7d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 8.43K | $0.500 | $4.22K | 7d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 580.32 | $0.738 | $428.47 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.55K | $0.810 | $4.49K | 7d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.980 | $2.94K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.37K | $0.989 | $8.27K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.959 | $2.1K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.965 | $2.22K | 8d ago |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | 11d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Yes | buy | 258 | $0.987 | $254.65 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.260 | $39 | 12d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 953.61 | $0.400 | $381.44 | 13d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.66K | $0.840 | $4.75K | 16d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.91K | $0.967 | $2.81K | 16d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 3.93K | $0.988 | $3.89K | 16d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.930 | $1.26K | 16d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 273.23K | $0.930 | $254.11K | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 175.13K | $0.830 | $145.36K | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 165.77K | $0.997 | $165.27K | 16d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.48 | $0.915 | $20.56 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 40.48K | $0.992 | $40.16K | 22d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | sell | 8.64 | $0.996 | $8.61 | 22d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.640 | $1.08K | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 297.09 | $0.951 | $282.53 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.95 | $0.188 | $5.63 | 24d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 96.07 | $0.957 | $91.94 | 24d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.640 | $70.4 | 25d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.805 | $16.1 | 25d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.7 | $0.680 | $14.76 | 25d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 37.19 | $0.093 | $3.46 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 82.5 | $0.040 | $3.27 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.199 | $1 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.031 | $0.62 | 29d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 96.03 | $0.031 | $2.98 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 30.51K | $0.997 | $30.42K | 29d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 18.99K | $0.959 | $18.2K | 29d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 37.18K | $0.962 | $35.77K | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.047 | $3.06 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | buy | 56.33 | $0.029 | $1.63 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 238.05 | $0.070 | $16.66 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 206.76 | $0.043 | $8.89 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 297.1 | $0.160 | $47.54 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.551 | $8.82 | Aug 7, 2026 |