Analytics
Yes is at 53.5%, up 5 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 86 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 18 Aug 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 48%; a month before, 46.5%.
The Odyssey is the favourite of the 27 outcomes in “Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner”, ahead of You Can See Everything at 17.5%.
$6.67K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $198.48K since listing. The order book holds $18.93K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.86K bought Yes and $6.88K bought No; the largest was a $1.55K sell of No at 47.5¢.
The largest Yes position is bosshog with 14.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 23.6K. Ten wallets hold 69% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 48.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 53.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.63K |
| bosshog | Yes | 14.33K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857
15 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| No |
| 8.96K |
| Sagand | Yes | 7.28K |
| cat-dog | Yes | 5K |
| 0x8712 | No | 4K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 3.24K |
| opo0 | No | 2.65K |
| laflamablanca | Yes | 2.36K |
| jimmer-fredette | Yes | 2.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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