Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 57.78K | $0.915 | $56.83K | +$3.96K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBen Shelton | sell | 1K | $0.430 | $430 | 22m ago |
|
| No |
| 50K |
| $0.987 |
| $49.77K |
| +$406.21 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 27.59K | $0.847 | $26.07K | +$2.7K |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 17.75K | $0.976 | $17.54K | +$218.93 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 17.5K | $0.959 | $16.79K | +$13.86 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 17.5K | $0.875 | $16.27K | +$956.17 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 15.25K | $0.935 | $14.7K | +$447.63 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 26K | $0.505 | $13.91K | +$785.3 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 11.61K | $0.663 | $11K | +$3.29K |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20.57K | $0.526 | $10.08K | -$742.06 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18.5K | $0.548 | $8.6K | -$1.53K |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5.03K | $0.972 | $4.99K | +$100.92 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6K | $0.611 | $4.41K | +$743.01 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 30K | $0.186 | $4.05K | -$1.52K |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.24K | $0.720 | $4.04K | +$984.79 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.59K | $0.669 | $3.37K | +$960.39 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.26K | $0.952 | $3.08K | -$17.1 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3.6K | $0.856 | $3.04K | -$37.96 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.11K | $0.379 | $2.66K | +$1.48K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 2.5K | $0.983 | $2.49K | +$33.75 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.860 | $2.14K | -$12.5 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.7K | $0.185 | $1.98K | +$1.48K |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.800 | $1.87K | +$270 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.46K | $0.375 | $1.33K | +$783.55 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.25K | $0.898 | $1.12K | -$3.73 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.580 |
| $290 |
| 33m ago |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBen Shelton | buy | 500 | $0.590 | $295 | 1h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.230 | $25.53 | 4h ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 211 | $0.984 | $207.62 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 305 | $0.900 | $274.5 | 5h ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 173.57 | $0.946 | $164.2 | 6h ago |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.630 | $630 | 7h ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.986 | $7 | 16h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | 1d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 361.82 | $0.470 | $169.96 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.960 | $4.8K | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 5.29K | $0.976 | $5.16K | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 5K | $0.976 | $4.88K | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.130 | $325 | 2d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.045 | $91.75 | 2d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.046 | $46 | 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.982 | $1.96K | 3d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.931 | $4.66K | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis ShapovalovDenis Shapovalov | sell | 1K | $0.045 | $45.04 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 225.37 | $0.072 | $16.23 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 608.15 | $0.071 | $43.18 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 207.41 | $0.075 | $15.56 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.081 | $81 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 363.6 | $0.082 | $29.82 | 4d ago |
 Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.025 | $12.5 | 4d ago |
 Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.049 | $122.5 | 6d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 247.1 | $0.978 | $241.66 | 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 5K | $0.974 | $4.87K | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.007 | $175 | 6d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 362.54 | $0.977 | $354.2 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 5K | $0.969 | $4.85K | 8d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.973 | $2.43K | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 5K | $0.973 | $4.86K | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 4K | $0.971 | $3.88K | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 10K | $0.971 | $9.71K | 9d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.877 | $4.39K | 10d ago |
 Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?No | sell | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | 10d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.877 | $4.39K | 10d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.877 | $4.39K | 10d ago |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?No | sell | 5K | $0.999 | $5K | 10d ago |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?No | sell | 6.94K | $0.999 | $6.93K | 10d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | 12d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.964 | $2.77 | 12d ago |
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | 12d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 335.84 | $0.876 | $294.2 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 123.09 | $0.983 | $121 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 918 | $0.930 | $853.74 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.910 | $4.55K | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 3K | $0.900 | $2.7K | 13d ago |