Analytics
Yes is at 9%, down 34 points from 42.5% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 332 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 1 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.5%; a month before, 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 48.5% on 8 Jan 2026.
$23.96 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $205.63K since listing. The order book holds $16.82K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.32K bought Yes and $13.65K bought No; the largest was a $1.83K buy of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Slugmonay with 4K shares; the largest No position is plumbis with 14.1K. Ten wallets hold 60.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 332 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 42.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 9.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models. - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training. - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web. - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-before-2027
| Solar Lynx EC36 |
| Yes |
| 2.96K |
| bosshog | No | 2.5K |
| delphilo | Yes | 2.2K |
| DirkDiggler67 | No | 2.12K |
| KioskJammer | Yes | 1.66K |
| lookolik | Yes | 1.66K |
| TheEmprah | No | 1.48K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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