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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 91K | $0.914 | $87.5K | +$4.34K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.520 | $1.04K | 22h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 42.29K |
| $0.850 |
| $36.58K |
| +$634.43 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 23.74K | $0.904 | $22.2K | +$740.4 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 21.27K | $0.803 | $18.19K | +$1.11K |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 80.92K | $0.110 | $15.25K | +$6.35K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 15.15K | $0.660 | $12.95K | +$2.95K |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.72K | $0.827 | $9.09K | +$1.05K |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 3K | $0.870 | $2.94K | +$331.48 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 7.23K | $0.339 | $2.58K | +$126.2 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.28K | $0.526 | $2.25K | -$3.79 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 2.02K | $0.963 | $2K | +$61.55 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 1.3K | $0.820 | $1.07K | +$6.5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2K | $0.520 | $1.07K | +$30 |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 742.73 | $0.819 | $642.46 | +$34.22 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.536 | $629.49 | +$93.5 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.523 | $607.03 | +$56.33 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 600 | $0.870 | $599.7 | +$77.7 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 556.64 | $0.960 | $541.33 | +$6.96 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 556.01 | $0.638 | $517.09 | +$162.24 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 1.9K | $0.279 | $454.86 | -$73.2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.146 | $322.4 | +$88.8 |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 615 | $0.410 | $221.4 | -$30.75 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 494.67 | $0.860 | $185.5 | -$239.91 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 181.6 | $0.810 | $175.52 | +$28.42 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 100 | $0.760 | $97.8 | +$21.8 |
| buy |
| 359.67 |
| $0.900 |
| $323.7 |
| 12d ago |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.925 | $1.02K | 12d ago |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | 13d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?Yes | buy | 166.25 | $0.860 | $142.98 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.350 | $700 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 43.57 | $0.910 | $39.65 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 862.99 | $0.920 | $793.95 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 3.58K | $0.908 | $3.25K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.410 | $6.15 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 556.64 | $0.960 | $534.37 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.536 | $535.99 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 15.15K | $0.660 | $10K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 1.57K | $0.910 | $1.43K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.532 | $1.06K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes | buy | 702.73 | $0.820 | $576.24 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 50K | $0.950 | $47.5K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 42.29K | $0.850 | $35.95K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 153.3 | $0.523 | $80.18 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.59K | $0.349 | $1.95K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.920 | $3.68K | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3K | $0.948 | $2.85K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.305 | $499.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 137.63 | $0.840 | $115.61 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 218.1 | $0.963 | $210.03 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.93K | $0.001 | $6.93 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.021 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.740 | $4.07K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 494.67 | $0.860 | $425.42 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 354.11 | $0.920 | $325.78 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.877 | $1.16K | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 30.52K | $0.005 | $152.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 599.99 | $0.070 | $42 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 4.41K | $0.820 | $3.61K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 40K | $0.870 | $34.8K | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.3K | $0.004 | $21.19 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.042 | $104.15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 7.49K | $0.897 | $6.73K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 2.16K | $0.926 | $2K | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.469 | $1.2K | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Men's Final - Canada vs. USACanada | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 8.58K | $0.967 | $8.3K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 8.49K | $0.800 | $6.79K | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 199.96 | $0.155 | $31 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.86K | $0.860 | $5.04K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 5.66K | $0.820 | $4.64K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 18.85K | $0.810 | $15.27K | Jan 30, 2026 |