Analytics
Yes is at 84%, up 43 points from 41% when the market opened on 5 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85% on 29 Oct 2026 and the lowest 41% on 5 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 81.5%; a month before, 68.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 56.5% on 7 Aug 2026.
Grand Theft Auto VI is the favourite of the 24 outcomes in “The Game Awards: Game of the Year”, ahead of Resident Evil Requiem at 7%.
$213.78 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $65.85K since listing. The order book holds $5.14K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $10.46K bought Yes and $4.03K bought No; the largest was a $1.71K buy of Yes at 72.0¢.
The largest Yes position is ToyodaMan with 2.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 58.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 41.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 83.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ToyodaMan | Yes | 2.38K |
| x1x1x1x | Yes | 2.38K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.94K |
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-game-awards-game-of-the-year-20260804145650
12 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| AccountUsername |
| No |
| 1.91K |
| schwifty33 | Yes | 1.77K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 1.66K |
| LariXen | No | 1.09K |
| WeJustBettin | Yes | 1.08K |
| VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu | No | 987.46 |
| Anjun | No | 889.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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