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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.960 | $4.48K | -$23.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.960 | $1.25K | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.7K |
| $0.815 |
| $2.36K |
| +$162.09 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.55K | $0.599 | $2.15K | +$20.82 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.03K | $0.910 | $1.99K | +$148.3 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.9K | $0.799 | $1.78K | +$266.78 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.79K | $0.744 | $1.65K | +$316.18 |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.932 | $1.53K | +$45.06 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.64K | $0.854 | $1.51K | +$116.79 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.54K | $0.907 | $1.48K | +$84.35 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 1.41K | $0.901 | $1.36K | +$80.15 |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.960 | $1.24K | -$13.02 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.32K | $0.468 | $1.23K | +$616.78 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.971 | $1.22K | +$1.88 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 1.33K | $0.698 | $1.21K | +$275.06 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 1.23K | $0.902 | $1.19K | +$82.1 |
 Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 1.19K | $0.926 | $1.18K | +$81.65 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1.16K | $0.912 | $1.1K | +$40.41 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.2K | $0.667 | $1.04K | +$238.26 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 896.44 | $0.888 | $868.21 | +$72.51 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 991.09 | $0.843 | $827.56 | -$8.13 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 864.56 | $0.920 | $817.01 | +$21.76 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 884.92 | $0.884 | $800.86 | +$18.69 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat? | Yes | 759.7 | $0.921 | $725.51 | +$25.52 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 791.11 | $0.803 | $723.87 | +$88.62 |
 Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | No | 722.3 | $0.969 | $697.38 | -$2.62 |
| buy |
| 231.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $185 |
| 1d ago |
 Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?Yes | buy | 72.16 | $0.970 | $70 | 1d ago |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 61.22 | $0.980 | $60 | 1d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 205.95 | $0.971 | $200 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.960 | $200 | 1d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | 1d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 98.68 | $0.781 | $77.11 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.960 | $800 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.960 | $2K | 2d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.960 | $1.5K | 2d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 204.9 | $0.976 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 137.47 | $0.909 | $125 | 3d ago |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 242.31 | $0.832 | $201.52 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 515.47 | $0.970 | $500 | 3d ago |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | 5d ago |
 Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in September 2026?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | 6d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 256.42 | $0.975 | $250 | 7d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.971 | $1.21K | 7d ago |
 Will Trump say "Gay" in September?No | buy | 39.68 | $0.630 | $25 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham in September 2026?Yes | buy | 51.29 | $0.975 | $50 | 7d ago |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 51.74 | $0.966 | $50 | 7d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | 7d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 313.57 | $0.957 | $300 | 7d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No | buy | 40 | $0.977 | $39.08 | 8d ago |
 Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum fail?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | 11d ago |
 Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | buy | 107.18 | $0.933 | $100 | 12d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Yes | buy | 72.24 | $0.969 | $70 | 13d ago |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 30.67 | $0.978 | $30 | 13d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 474.75 | $0.632 | $300 | 13d ago |
 Will Toyohito Ikeda win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 715.04 | $0.979 | $700 | 15d ago |
| Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 182.48 | $0.959 | $175 | 15d ago |
 Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?Yes | buy | 41.15 | $0.972 | $40 | 15d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 101.19 | $0.840 | $85 | 15d ago |
 Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?Yes | buy | 178.6 | $0.980 | $175 | 15d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?Yes | buy | 212.92 | $0.939 | $200 | 15d ago |
| Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 53.25 | $0.939 | $50 | 15d ago |
| Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 852.46 | $0.938 | $800 | 15d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes | buy | 103.95 | $0.962 | $100 | 15d ago |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 101.35 | $0.740 | $75 | 15d ago |
 Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?Yes | buy | 40.73 | $0.982 | $40 | 18d ago |
| Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.980 | $50 | 18d ago |
| Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?Yes | buy | 50.69 | $0.986 | $50 | 18d ago |
| Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 45.82 | $0.982 | $45 | 18d ago |
 Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?Yes | buy | 51.67 | $0.968 | $50 | 18d ago |
| Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?Yes | buy | 77.52 | $0.967 | $75 | 18d ago |
| Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?Yes | buy | 82.6 | $0.969 | $80 | 18d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.787 | $275.6 | 18d ago |
