Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 5 points from 6.5% when the market opened on 26 Jul 2025.
Across the 448 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10% on 4 Sep 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.8%; a month before, 2.8%.
$553.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $86.01K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $424.52 bought Yes and $40.23K bought No; the largest was a $13.73K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Chungvicular with 29.1K shares; the largest No position is rulki with 25.2K. Ten wallets hold 67.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 448 points, 26 Jul 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | 6.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chungvicular | Yes | 29.13K |
| rulki | No | 25.22K |
| fine2026 | Yes | 22.91K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026
| Swift Beacon 369B |
| No |
| 20.33K |
| opdo | Yes | 18.25K |
| ANGGGuess | No | 14.97K |
| SteamRollerPennies | No | 8.76K |
| MarketAcct | Yes | 7.5K |
| Burly-Temperature | No | 7.03K |
| fifzf | Yes | 7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
