Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 43 points from 46% when the market opened on 19 Feb 2026.
Across the 225 daily closes on record from 19 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 19 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 20 Oct 2026. The current quote, 3.1%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 3.1% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.1%; a month before, 4.2%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 29% on 20 Feb 2026.
$1.23K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.62M since listing. The order book holds $98.45K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.49K bought Yes and $47.59K bought No; the largest was a $9.55K buy of No at 96.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Striped-Pressroom with 106.5K shares; the largest No position is denizz with 160.9K. Ten wallets hold 55.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 225 points, 19 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2026 | 46.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| denizz | No | 160.9K |
| Striped-Pressroom | Yes | 106.52K |
| Better-Ford | Yes | 71.17K |
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30
| keribit |
| No |
| 65K |
| tetrase | No | 56.17K |
| debased | Yes | 46.09K |
| kevtp | No | 45K |
| Indigo Signal 85CC | Yes | 42.49K |
| Exemplary-Citizen | Yes | 39.47K |
| Shimmering-Age | No | 23.97K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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