Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 23.97K | $0.937 | $22.89K | +$429.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.956 | $1.6K | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5K |
| $0.860 |
| $4.38K |
| +$75 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.890 | $2.84K | +$165 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | Yes | 585.53 | $0.880 | $494.77 | -$20.55 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.863 | $203.5 | -$746.18 |
| sell |
| 279.23 |
| $0.626 |
| $174.71 |
| 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.550 | $220 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.550 | $275 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5K | $0.910 | $4.55K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 418.66 | $0.610 | $255.38 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.54 | $0.630 | $4.75 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.890 | $2.67K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.710 | $1.42K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.710 | $1.42K | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 2.34K | $0.999 | $2.34K | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.961 | $1.3K | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 570.69 | $0.990 | $564.93 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.993 | $173.83 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 137.8 | $0.988 | $136.09 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 7.5K | $0.999 | $7.49K | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No | buy | 197.53 | $0.975 | $192.59 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 175 | $0.990 | $173.21 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 503 | $0.989 | $497.47 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 740.3 | $0.990 | $732.71 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.990 | $4.95K | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.994 | $994 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 10K | $0.997 | $9.97K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.977 | $4.89K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.870 | $4.35K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 13.48K | $0.997 | $13.44K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.993 | $1.1K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes | buy | 603.33 | $0.860 | $518.86 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 572 | $0.975 | $557.88 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 67.31 | $0.989 | $66.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 4.38K | $0.995 | $4.36K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 4K | $0.999 | $4K | May 30, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 6K | $0.965 | $5.79K | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 4K | $0.999 | $4K | May 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.880 | $156.64 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.880 | $1.56K | May 30, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 6K | $0.980 | $5.88K | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 10.2K | $0.999 | $10.19K | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.5K | $0.949 | $6.17K | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | sell | 6.26K | $0.997 | $6.24K | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.968 | $2.42K | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.68K | $0.972 | $2.61K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.972 | $4.86K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 4.22K | $0.981 | $4.14K | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 2.73K | $0.981 | $2.68K | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 11.25K | $0.981 | $11.04K | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.975 | $9.75K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | Apr 30, 2026 |