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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 509.32K | $0.767 | $476.22K | +$85.31K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.330 | $24.42 | 10d ago |
|
| No |
| 370.47K |
| $0.736 |
| $316.75K |
| +$44.09K |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 133.55K | $0.834 | $127.54K | +$16.13K |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 64.34K | $0.763 | $61.44K | +$12.32K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 33.59K | $0.512 | $27.93K | +$10.73K |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 33.37K | $0.662 | $27.87K | +$5.78K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 18.01K | $0.651 | $15.29K | +$3.55K |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 16.12K | $0.748 | $15.15K | +$3.1K |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.91K | $0.821 | $13.94K | +$1.71K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 66.25K | $0.551 | $12.92K | -$23.61K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 13.28K | $0.654 | $11.49K | +$2.79K |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 15.52K | $0.411 | $11.18K | +$4.8K |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.01K | $0.892 | $8.93K | +$901.99 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.36K | $0.814 | $7.99K | +$1.18K |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 10.14K | $0.671 | $6.34K | -$468.53 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.11K | $0.839 | $5.53K | +$406.05 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 43.26K | $0.263 | $5.41K | -$5.98K |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 6.03K | $0.835 | $5.38K | +$338.55 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 56.18K | $0.305 | $5.34K | -$11.82K |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 5.09K | $0.727 | $4.86K | +$1.16K |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 4.99K | $0.776 | $4.57K | +$694.28 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 17.99K | $0.433 | $4.23K | -$3.56K |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 4.44K | $0.511 | $3.93K | +$1.66K |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 3.93K | $0.816 | $3.75K | +$547.82 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 17.08K | $0.576 | $3.67K | -$6.16K |
| buy |
| 1.27K |
| $0.310 |
| $394.12 |
| 11d ago |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 513.48 | $0.290 | $148.69 | 12d ago |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.196 | $226.11 | 12d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.2K | $0.850 | $1.87K | 14d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.095 | $96.96 | 20d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.53K | $0.040 | $61.25 | 20d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.87K | $0.040 | $234.62 | 20d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.01K | $0.090 | $1.35K | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.120 | $124.32 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.120 | $179.36 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.34K | $0.110 | $257.84 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.99K | $0.110 | $438.56 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.100 | $299.87 | 22d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.33K | $0.819 | $4.36K | 24d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 196.14 | $0.820 | $160.83 | 25d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10.6K | $0.780 | $8.27K | 25d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.130 | $161.27 | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.95K | $0.120 | $355.2 | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.21K | $0.110 | $243.47 | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 811.46 | $0.490 | $397.62 | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 595.7 | $0.523 | $311.65 | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.550 | $760.42 | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.790 | $4.53 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.36 | $0.800 | $17.09 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.7 | $0.800 | $8.56 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.793 | $23.79 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.3 | $0.790 | $17.62 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 40.65 | $0.740 | $30.08 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.65 | $0.740 | $18.98 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.710 | $14.19 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.63 | $0.800 | $5.3 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.52 | $0.840 | $31.52 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.780 | $6.09 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.65 | $0.780 | $5.97 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 38.59 | $0.740 | $28.56 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.730 | $4.18 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 45.77 | $0.690 | $31.58 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.660 | $1.08 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 0.77 | $0.610 | $0.47 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.3 | $0.770 | $12.55 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.770 | $4.81 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.730 | $23.36 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 98.35 | $0.760 | $74.75 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 202.26 | $0.740 | $149.67 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.800 | $120 | 27d ago |