Analytics
Yes is at 4.3%, down 16 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 29 Apr 2026.
The high was 32% on 2 May 2026 and the low 3.5% on 30 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.6%; a month ago, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 32% on 2 May 2026.
$102.51K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.97K, with a 5.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $171.18 bought Yes and $42.03K bought No.
The largest Yes position is uifaebfae with 4.1K shares; the largest No position is denizz with 3.1K. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 10:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 171 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 4.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| uifaebfae | Yes | 4.13K |
| denizz | No | 3.09K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 921.54 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026
| pookyisback |
| No |
| 717.68 |
| QMG-CORE | No | 508.25 |
| Wooden-Geography | No | 492.4 |
| Unwelcome-Opponent | No | 400 |
| goask | Yes | 300 |
| Helwa | Yes | 130.54 |
| AJSV | No | 60.64 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
